Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 9 hit · CLV +0.0 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Sporting Lisbon at 2.65 is under fair of 2.70 from two books with a 37% hit rate and negative EV at 98% of fair. The book's price reflects its market consensus.
Bristol City's price of 2.00 is at fair value of 2.06 from two books, with a 48.5% hit rate. The bet is priced at 97% of fair; Bristol City won five of its last seven matches while opponent Blackburn won three of six.
Burnley at 1.67 sits 0.7% above fair of 1.66 built from two books, with a 60.3% hit rate that implies value. The book pays 101% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Swansea City at 2.70 is well under fair of 2.87 from two books, with 34.9% hit rate implying a minus 5.9% EV at 94% of fair. Swansea won five of its last six games and captured its last match 2-1.
Middlesbrough at 1.95 is under fair of 2.02 from two books with a 49.5% hit rate and minus 3.5% EV at 96% of fair. Middlesbrough won 1-0 in its last outing.
Birmingham City at 1.62 is priced slightly under fair of 1.64 from two books. The 61% hit rate drove the slate inclusion, though the pick carries negative EV at 99% of fair; Birmingham won three of four recently including a 1-0 victory last time out.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
