414 published · 406 graded · 8 pending. Cells under 100 graded are greyed out and support nothing yet. Straights carry CLV (the published price against the book's close, else the closing fair); parlays never do.
Straight picks
379 graded. The last table is the evidence audit: every vetoed pick is stored and graded like an offered one, so a veto whose picks do not hit less than offered picks is noise and comes out.
By sport| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | vs close | ROI | CLV pts | Log loss |
|---|
| Baseball | 126 | 126 | 70524 | 57.4% per pick 57.4% n 122 | +6.2 pts said 51.2% | 0.232 n 122 | - | +7.8% n 126 | +0.8 pts per pick +0.8 pts (median +0.3 pts) n 126 | 0.657 |
| Soccer | 90 | 90 | 4545 | 50.0% per pick 50.0% n 90 | +1.0 pts said 49.0% | 0.236 n 90 | - | -2.1% n 90 | +0.6 pts per pick +0.6 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 90 | 0.664 |
| Hockey | 72 | 72 | 41301 | 57.7% per pick 57.7% n 71 | +2.4 pts said 55.3% | 0.238 n 71 | - | +2.2% n 72 | +0.6 pts per pick +0.6 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 72 | 0.670 |
| Football | 69 | 69 | 24414 | 36.9% per pick 36.9% n 65 | -7.1 pts said 44.0% | 0.220 n 65 | - | -11.9% n 69 | +0.6 pts per pick +0.6 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 69 | 0.626 |
| Basketball | 22 | 22 | 139 | 59.1% per pick 59.1% n 22 | +8.2 pts said 50.8% | 0.244 n 22 | - | +12.8% n 22 | +0.6 pts per pick +0.6 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 22 | 0.681 |
By market| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | vs close | ROI | CLV pts | Log loss |
|---|
| Moneyline | 266 | 266 | 1411232 | 53.4% per pick 53.4% n 264 | +2.1 pts said 51.4% | 0.238 n 264 | - | +0.4% n 266 | +0.7 pts per pick +0.7 pts (median +0.3 pts) n 266 | 0.668 |
| Spread | 47 | 47 | 2621 | 55.3% per pick 55.3% n 47 | +1.7 pts said 53.6% | 0.233 n 47 | - | -0.1% n 47 | +0.3 pts per pick +0.3 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 47 | 0.657 |
| Total Points | 17 | 17 | 710 | 41.2% per pick 41.2% n 17 | -8.2 pts said 49.4% | 0.240 n 17 | - | -20.7% n 17 | +0.5 pts per pick +0.5 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 17 | 0.673 |
| Total Runs | 15 | 15 | 843 | 66.7% per pick 66.7% n 12 | +16.3 pts said 50.4% | 0.248 n 12 | - | +24.3% n 15 | +0.1 pts per pick +0.1 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 15 | 0.689 |
| Anytime TD Scorer · 100% on 2026-09-14 | 13 | 13 | 184 | 11.1% per pick 11.1% n 9 | -2.4 pts said 13.5% | 0.096 n 9 | - | -19.2% n 13 | -0.0 pts per pick -0.0 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 13 | 0.330 |
| Total Bases | 8 | 8 | 44 | 50.0% per pick 50.0% n 8 | -6.7 pts said 56.7% | 0.237 n 8 | - | -15.3% n 8 | +0.9 pts per pick +0.9 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 8 | 0.665 |
| Total Goals | 5 | 5 | 32 | 60.0% per pick 60.0% n 5 | +10.2 pts said 49.8% | 0.251 n 5 | - | +18.6% n 5 | +1.2 pts per pick +1.2 pts (median +1.0 pts) n 5 | 0.695 |
| Passing Yards · 100% on 2026-09-14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 2 | -14.8 pts said 14.8% | 0.022 n 2 | - | -100.0% n 2 | +1.6 pts per pick +1.6 pts (median +1.6 pts) n 2 | 0.160 |
| Pitcher Strikeouts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% per pick 100.0% n 2 | +45.2 pts said 54.8% | 0.205 n 2 | - | +85.0% n 2 | +4.7 pts per pick +4.7 pts (median +4.7 pts) n 2 | 0.603 |
| Receptions · 100% on 2026-09-14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 2 | -24.4 pts said 24.4% | 0.076 n 2 | - | -100.0% n 2 | +4.4 pts per pick +4.4 pts (median +4.4 pts) n 2 | 0.293 |
| Rushing Yards · 100% on 2026-09-14 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 50.0% per pick 50.0% n 2 | +37.2 pts said 12.8% | 0.400 n 2 | - | +395.0% n 2 | +1.2 pts per pick +1.2 pts (median +1.2 pts) n 2 | 1.152 |
By book| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | vs close | ROI | CLV pts | Log loss |
|---|
| BetMGM | 123 | 123 | 70521 | 57.4% per pick 57.4% n 122 | +3.4 pts said 54.0% | 0.237 n 122 | - | +3.9% n 123 | +0.7 pts per pick +0.7 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 123 | 0.667 |
| DraftKings | 85 | 85 | 37462 | 44.6% per pick 44.6% n 83 | -2.5 pts said 47.1% | 0.237 n 83 | - | +0.2% n 85 | +0.6 pts per pick +0.6 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 85 | 0.669 |
| Caesars | 68 | 68 | 40253 | 61.5% per pick 61.5% n 65 | +10.2 pts said 51.4% | 0.241 n 65 | - | +17.1% n 68 | +0.8 pts per pick +0.8 pts (median +0.7 pts) n 68 | 0.674 |
| FanDuel | 60 | 60 | 2733 | 45.0% per pick 45.0% n 60 | -3.5 pts said 48.5% | 0.235 n 60 | - | -12.8% n 60 | +0.7 pts per pick +0.7 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 60 | 0.659 |
| Fanatics | 43 | 43 | 19213 | 47.5% per pick 47.5% n 40 | +2.2 pts said 45.3% | 0.197 n 40 | - | -11.4% n 43 | +0.5 pts per pick +0.5 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 43 | 0.573 |
By EV band| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | vs close | ROI | CLV pts | Log loss |
|---|
| under 0% | 328 | 328 | 1781455 | 55.1% per pick 55.1% n 323 | +2.9 pts said 52.2% | 0.241 n 323 | - | +2.8% n 328 | +0.6 pts per pick +0.6 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 328 | 0.675 |
| 0 to 2% | 20 | 20 | 812 | 40.0% per pick 40.0% n 20 | -10.4 pts said 50.4% | 0.233 n 20 | - | -24.0% n 20 | +1.5 pts per pick +1.5 pts (median +1.5 pts) n 20 | 0.657 |
| 2 to 5% | 8 | 8 | 44 | 50.0% per pick 50.0% n 8 | +7.9 pts said 42.1% | 0.183 n 8 | - | +3.3% n 8 | +1.6 pts per pick +1.6 pts (median +0.7 pts) n 8 | 0.554 |
| 5 to 10% · 91% on 2026-09-14 | 11 | 11 | 272 | 22.2% per pick 22.2% n 9 | -3.6 pts said 25.8% | 0.146 n 9 | - | -5.6% n 11 | +1.2 pts per pick +1.2 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 11 | 0.472 |
| 10 to 20% · 86% on 2026-09-14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 14.3% per pick 14.3% n 7 | +2.8 pts said 11.5% | 0.123 n 7 | - | +41.4% n 7 | +0.4 pts per pick +0.4 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 7 | 0.412 |
| 20% and up · 100% on 2026-09-14 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 3 | -9.7 pts said 9.7% | 0.010 n 3 | - | -60.0% n 5 | +0.1 pts per pick +0.1 pts (median +0.0 pts) n 5 | 0.103 |
Parlays
27 graded. No CLV column.
By sport| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | ROI | Log loss |
|---|
| Soccer | 12 | 12 | 48 | 33.3% per pick 33.3% n 12 | +3.6 pts said 29.7% | 0.241 n 12 | +26.7% n 12 | 0.681 |
| Baseball | 9 | 9 | 27 | 22.2% per pick 22.2% n 9 | -4.2 pts said 26.4% | 0.162 n 9 | -27.0% n 9 | 0.489 |
| Football | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 3 | -15.8 pts said 15.8% | 0.031 n 3 | -100.0% n 3 | 0.176 |
| Hockey · 67% on 2026-10-08 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 66.7% per pick 66.7% n 3 | +35.7 pts said 30.9% | 0.306 n 3 | +109.8% n 3 | 0.812 |
By legs| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | ROI | Log loss |
|---|
| 2 legs | 22 | 22 | 616 | 27.3% per pick 27.3% n 22 | -0.5 pts said 27.8% | 0.183 n 22 | -11.8% n 22 | 0.537 |
| 3 legs | 5 | 5 | 23 | 40.0% per pick 40.0% n 5 | +15.3 pts said 24.7% | 0.269 n 5 | +73.2% n 5 | 0.744 |
By book| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | ROI | Log loss |
|---|
| BetMGM | 13 | 13 | 58 | 38.5% per pick 38.5% n 13 | +8.9 pts said 29.5% | 0.233 n 13 | +33.2% n 13 | 0.660 |
| FanDuel · 60% on 2026-09-14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 5 | -14.2 pts said 14.2% | 0.027 n 5 | -100.0% n 5 | 0.158 |
| Caesars | 4 | 4 | 13 | 25.0% per pick 25.0% n 4 | -6.3 pts said 31.3% | 0.228 n 4 | -0.6% n 4 | 0.653 |
| DraftKings | 4 | 4 | 13 | 25.0% per pick 25.0% n 4 | -5.6 pts said 30.6% | 0.206 n 4 | -10.3% n 4 | 0.601 |
| Fanatics · 100% on 2026-10-03 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% per pick 100.0% n 1 | +68.3 pts said 31.7% | 0.467 n 1 | +219.0% n 1 | 1.150 |
By EV band| Bucket | Game-sides | Graded | Record | Hit rate | Gap | Brier | ROI | Log loss |
|---|
| 0 to 2% | 10 | 10 | 37 | 30.0% per pick 30.0% n 10 | +2.3 pts said 27.7% | 0.188 n 10 | -2.4% n 10 | 0.559 |
| 2 to 5% | 8 | 8 | 53 | 62.5% per pick 62.5% n 8 | +32.4 pts said 30.1% | 0.350 n 8 | +128.9% n 8 | 0.917 |
| 5 to 10% · 67% on 2026-09-14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 3 | -14.2 pts said 14.2% | 0.026 n 3 | -100.0% n 3 | 0.158 |
| 10 to 20% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 2 | -13.3 pts said 13.3% | 0.024 n 2 | -100.0% n 2 | 0.146 |
| 20% and up | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.0% per pick 0.0% n 4 | -36.7 pts said 36.7% | 0.139 n 4 | -100.0% n 4 | 0.462 |