Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 7 hit · CLV +0.6 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Milwaukee's price of 2.2 sits 3% under fair value of 2.27 across four books, with a 44.1% hit rate. Pitcher Logan Henderson's 24.5% K-BB% over 371 batters faced backs the Brewers, though his 2.47 ERA runs notably hotter than his 3.30 xFIP.
Cleveland's moneyline at 2.42 sits 3.7% below fair value of 2.51, which four books agree on. The 39.8% hit rate implies modest upside, though our record on MLB road moneylines over 60 days stands at 44%, a meaningful caution on the spot.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
