Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 7 hit · CLV +0.6 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
The Rams moneyline at -175 prices to 63.8% implied probability against a 61.6% fair hit rate built from four books. FanDuel pays 97% of fair value, leaving minimal edge; the pick lands on slate because books align on the probability band. All quotes are over 30 minutes old.
Total Points Under 54.5 at -105 sits exactly at fair value of 1.95 decimal across three books, with a 51.2% hit rate implying nearly even odds. Both defenses allow identical pass EPA per dropback at -0.02 versus the league baseline of +0.05, supporting the under's modest probability edge. Buffalo's last game went over this total.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
