The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Los Angeles DodgersatMilwaukee BrewersMLB5:20 PM· 1 pick
Caesars-3.6%MLBHitLate
-1091.92
✓Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers won its last game 3-1Jacob Misiorowski: K-BB% 31.3% (BF 665)
Fair from 4
-101
Hit
50.2%
Pays of Fair
96%
Closed
-103
CLV
-1.3 pts
Milwaukee Brewers moneyline at -109 sits 3.6 percentage points below fair value built from four books, implying a 50.2% hit rate. The book pays 96% of fair, a slight discount that put this on the slate as consensus pricing from multiple sources held firm.
PK-7ZLFQPublished 11d ago
Parlays
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.