Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 3 hit · CLV +0.4 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Pohang Steelers at 2.80 sits 7.2 percent below fair of 3.02 built from two books, paying 93 percent of fair. The line has moved in Pohang's favor by 5.1 points since opening, though quotes are more than 30 minutes old.
Zhejiang at 2.50 is priced 3.2 percent below fair of 2.58 from two books with a 38.7 percent hit rate. Zhejiang won its last match 4-1, though all quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata at 2.50 is 6.4 percent below fair of 2.67 across two sources, paying 94 percent of fair value. Our record on Primera División Argentina home favorites over 60 days is 87 percent. Aldosivi won its last match 1-0, though quotes are more than 30 minutes old.
Gimnasia La Plata at 1.91 is priced 3.7 percent below fair of 1.98 built from two books. The 50.4 percent hit rate implies near parity. Our record on Primera División Argentina home favorites over 60 days stands at 87 percent, though quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Boca Juniors at 2.60 is priced 6 percent below fair of 2.77 from two books with a 36.2 percent implied hit rate. The side won its last match 3-0, though all quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Yokohama F Marinos at 2.95 sits 5.8 percent below fair of 3.13 across two books, paying 94 percent of fair value. The 31.9 percent hit rate reflects the underdog price. Yokohama won four of its last five matches including a 2-0 victory last time out.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
Two independent clusters, hit rate 26.3% with payout slightly above fair value at 101% of fair and modest positive EV of 1.3%, offering a reasonable blend of coverage and value.
