Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 3 hit · CLV +0.4 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Rangers +1.5 at -208 prices just 0.8% below fair from three sources at a 67% hit rate. New York covered this spread last game with a 5-2 win. All quotes older than 30 minutes.
Washington at -139 sits 4.3% below fair value across three books, pricing the Capitals at 55.6% implied. The home record on this matchup runs 65% over 60 days. All quotes older than 30 minutes.
Detroit at -139 sits 1.9% below fair across three books, pricing the Red Wings at a 57% hit rate. The Wings won their last outing 5-3 and our home record stands at 65% over 60 days. All quotes older than 30 minutes.
Winnipeg at -118 prices 3.1% below fair from three sources at a 52.4% hit rate. The Jets won their last game 3-2 and carry a 65% home record over 60 days. All quotes older than 30 minutes.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
Two independent clusters, hit rate 26.3% with payout slightly above fair value at 101% of fair and modest positive EV of 1.3%, offering a reasonable blend of coverage and value.
