Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 3 hit · CLV +0.4 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
The Under 59.5 on FanDuel sits at -106, matching near-fair odds built from two books with a 50.6 percent hit rate. Both teams' most recent games settled under this total, supporting the thesis. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
San Jose State sits at -175 on FanDuel, matching the fair line built from four books and implying a 63.4 percent hit rate. The Spartans won four of their last six games and beat Wyoming 20-16 most recently. Every quote is older than 30 minutes and the line has moved against fair by 3.8 points since opening.
The Over 41.5 prices at -105 on FanDuel against a two-book fair line, implying a 50.2 percent hit rate and paying 98 percent of fair. Both teams went over 41.5 in their last games, supporting the total. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Iowa State plus 10.5 prices at -110 on Fanatics against a 50 percent fair line from two books, paying 96 percent of fair value. The Cyclones covered 10.5 last game, but SP+ expects BYU to win by 15.4 points at home, making the current line generous to Iowa State. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
