Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 9 hit · CLV +0.9 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Vila Nova at 2.20 is priced 1.3% under fair value of 2.23 built from two books. The 44.9% hit rate implies fair odds, and this pick landed on the slate as two books agree on the pricing. Vila Nova won 6 of its last 7 matches while Cuiabá took 4 of 6. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Fortaleza at 1.91 is priced 2.5% under fair value of 1.96 built from two books. The 51% hit rate provides a minimal statistical edge, but the book's price pays 97% of fair. Fortaleza won 4 straight while América Mineiro won only 2 of its last 8. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
