Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 9 hit · CLV +0.9 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Pittsburgh's 1.5 spread at -169 matches fair value exactly across three books with a 62.7 percent hit rate. The Penguins covered 1.5 in their last game, though all quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Winnipeg's 1.5 spread at -154 prices 0.7 percent below fair from three sources with a 60.2 percent hit rate. The Jets covered 1.5 last game and our 60-day home spread record is 30-19, though all quotes are over 30 minutes old.
Winnipeg's moneyline at +157 sits 3.4 percent under fair value from three books, with a 37.6 percent hit rate. The Jets won their last game 3-2 and our 60-day home record is 20-10, but the price remains below fair despite these factors.
Edmonton's moneyline at -125 sits 1.7 percent under fair value built from three books, implying a 54.6 percent win probability. The Oilers won their last game 3-1, but quotes are older than 30 minutes and our 60-day away record is 22-30.
Anaheim's 1.5 spread at -208 prices 2.1 percent under fair from three sources with a 66.1 percent hit rate. The Ducks covered 1.5 last game and our 60-day home spread record is 30-19, but the book pays 98 percent of fair value.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
