The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
New York LibertyatAtlanta DreamWNBA4:36 PM· 1 pick
FanDuel-3.0%WNBAHitMid
-1231.81
✓Atlanta Dream Moneyline
Atlanta Dream won 8 of last 8; opponent 5 of 8Atlanta Dream won its last game 92-82
Fair from 4
-115
Hit
53.6%
Pays of Fair
97%
Closed
-143
CLV
+3.6 pts
Atlanta Dream moneyline at -123 prices at 97 percent of fair value from four book agreement. Dream's net rating edge of 11.9 points over the last eight games and an 8-of-8 winning streak support the play at a 53.6 percent hit rate, but the line has moved 4.4 points against us since the opening.
PK-VATM5Published 15d ago
Las Vegas AcesatGolden State ValkyriesWNBA6:36 PM· 1 pick
Caesars-1.8%WNBAHitMid
-1201.83
✓Golden State Valkyries Moneyline
Golden State Valkyries won its last game 71-60Moved our way 3.5 pts since the opening (fair)
Fair from 4
-116
Hit
53.7%
Pays of Fair
98%
Closed
-128
CLV
+1.5 pts
Context · MediumContext: Jewell Loyd doubtful with left leg injury for Aces Game 2; Dana Evans knee doubtful per ESPN Oct 6. reviewjournal.com
Golden State Valkyries moneyline at -120 prices at 98 percent of fair value across four books. The line has moved 3.5 points in our direction since opening. Valkyries won their last game and we show a 55 percent hit rate on WNBA home h2h over 60 days, though a 5-point net rating disadvantage in the last eight games tempers the profile.
PK-BYWHCPublished 15d ago
Parlays
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.