Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 9 hit · CLV +0.9 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Chicago at 187 versus four-book fair of 191 pays 98% of fair with a 52.4% hit rate. The White Sox won 7 of their last 8 and their last game 4-3, while Cleveland managed only 4 of 8, providing concrete recent form underlying the near-fair pricing.
Los Angeles at 170 against a four-book fair of 173 pays 98% of fair with a 57.8% hit rate. The Dodgers' recent win and Glasnow's elite 25.3% K-BB% support the modest favorite, though the book's discount is marginal at negative 1.7% EV.
Tampa Bay sits at 143 on four-book consensus of 151, paying 97% of fair value with a 39.8% hit rate. The Rays won their last game, though pitcher Martinez shows concerning indicators: his 3.10 ERA trails his 4.47 xFIP, suggesting recent performance may not persist.
San Diego at 189 against four-book fair of 196 pays 96% of fair with a 51% hit rate. The Padres' latest win provides direct support, though the home favorite is priced at a 3.7% discount to consensus and the underlying advantage is narrow.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
