Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.12 picks · 5 hit · CLV -0.2 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Nashville's price of 2.3 is 4.1% below fair value from three books, offering no edge despite the Predators' 2-1 win last game. The bet implies a 41.7% hit rate and pays 96% of fair.
Nashville +1.5 at 1.53 is 1.6% below fair from three books with no positive edge. The line has moved 3.0 points in our favor since opening, and the Predators covered the spread last game with a 2-1 win.
Minnesota at 1.94 sits 2% below fair value from three books with no positive expectation. The Wild won their last game 4-1, but the price only pays 98% of fair and implies a 50.5% hit rate.
Ottawa at 1.95 sits just 0.5% above fair value from two books, implying a 51.5% hit rate. The Senators won their last two games including a 4-1 victory, though they play on the second night of a back-to-back while Detroit rests after two consecutive losses.
Carolina at 1.83 is 3.5% below fair from three books, offering no edge despite a 52.7% implied hit rate. The Hurricanes won last game 3-2, though the price pays just 97% of fair value.
New York Rangers at 1.69 trade 2.5% below fair from three books with no positive edge. The Rangers won three of their last four including a 4-2 victory, but the price only pays 97% of fair and implies a 57.7% hit rate.
Chicago +1.5 at 1.45 sits 1.6% below fair value from three books, offering no edge. The Blackhawks covered the 1.5 spread in their last game despite a 3-4 loss.
Vegas at 1.59 sits 3.7% below fair value from three books with no edge. The Golden Knights won last game 3-2, but the price pays just 96% of fair and implies a 60.6% hit rate.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
