Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 8 hit · CLV -0.2 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Deportivo Riestra at 1.91 is 3% below fair of 1.97 from two books, paying 97% of fair with a 50.8% hit rate. The book's price sits at fair value given our 92% record on home moneylines in Primera División over the last 60 days.
Velez Sarsfield BA at 1.91 sits 2.1% below fair of 1.95 built from two books. The 51.2% hit rate implies slight positive value, though the book pays 98% of fair. Our record on home moneylines in this league over 60 days stands at 33-3, a 92% win rate that supports the pick.
Rosario Central at 1.91 is 5% below fair of 2.01 from two books, paying 95% of fair. At a 49.7% hit rate, the price is at fair. Rosario Central won four of its last five games including a 1-0 victory, while Banfield won just one of five.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
