The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans SaintsNFL5:17 PM· 1 pick
FanDuel-3.9%NFLHitMid
-1101.91
✓Total Points Over 47.5
Both teams' last games went over 47.5
Fair from 2
-101
Hit
50.3%
Pays of Fair
96%
Closed
-110
CLV
+0.0 pts
Atlanta at New Orleans totals 47.5 at -110, where the fair across two books sits at 1.99 with an even 50.3 percent hit rate. FanDuel pays 96 percent of fair, putting the play at -3.9 percent EV and slightly under value. Both teams went over this number in their last games.
PK-GEKQ5Published 17d ago
Parlays
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.