The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Utah MammothatNew York RangersNHL3:08 PM· 1 pick
Caesars-2.9%NHLMissedMid
+1152.15
✕Utah Mammoth Moneyline
Utah Mammoth won its last game 4-1
Fair from 3
+121
Hit
45.2%
Pays of Fair
97%
Closed
-103
CLV
+4.3 pts
Utah Mammoth moneyline at 2.15 prices to 97 percent of the 2.21 fair built from three books, with a 45.2 percent hit rate and negative 2.9 percent EV. The pricing sits at fair despite Utah's 4-1 win in its last game. Utah faces a second night of a back-to-back while New York rested two days, and all quotes are over 30 minutes old.
PK-YAX95Published 18d ago
Florida PanthersatAnaheim DucksNHL5:15 PM· 1 pick
DraftKings-3.4%NHLHitMid
+1142.14
✓Anaheim Ducks Moneyline
Anaheim Ducks won its last game 4-3
Fair from 3
+122
Hit
45.1%
Pays of Fair
97%
Closed
+124
CLV
-2.1 pts
Context · MediumContext: Gustav Forsling game-time decision for Sunday at Anaheim due to upper body injury, Panthers official site. Notebook
Anaheim Ducks moneyline at 2.14 sits at 97 percent of the 2.22 fair across three books, implying a 45.1 percent hit rate. The 3.4 percent negative EV reflects pricing at fair value rather than as an edge, though three independent sources agree on the fair line and the Ducks' recent 4-3 win provides some momentum. All quotes are at least 30 minutes old.
PK-N64SWPublished 18d ago
Parlays
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.