Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 8 hit · CLV +1.5 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
The Brewers moneyline at -141 prices at 96% of fair value derived from three books, implying a 56.2% hit rate. Milwaukee won its last game 3-2, and Logan Henderson owns a 24.5% K-BB% over 371 batters-faced. Henderson's 2.47 ERA exceeds his 3.30 xFIP, a caution that he is running hot.
The Dodgers moneyline at -145 matches fair value built from four books, with a 59% hit rate. Los Angeles won 6 of its last 8 games and took its most recent contest 5-3. Blake Snell's 22.5% K-BB% across 173 batters-faced underpins the matchup, though his 1.90 ERA trails his 3.06 xFIP, indicating he is running hot.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
