Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 9 hit · CLV +1.1 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Caesars shows the White Sox at 2.32 versus a 2.37 fair built from four books, representing a 2% undervalue. The 42.3% hit rate and 98% payout of fair reflect consensus market pricing with modest edge.
DraftKings shows the Dodgers at 1.47 versus a fair of 1.49 from four books, representing a 1.5% undervalue. The 67% hit rate reflects the Dodgers' 6-of-8 recent record against Tampa's 4-of-8 form. The book pays 99% of fair value.
BetMGM prices Yankees at 2.15 against a 2.22 fair from four books, creating a 3.1% disadvantage. The line has moved against the fair by 4.8 points since opening, and the book pays only 97% of fair value at a 45.1% hit rate.
Caesars prices over 7 runs at 1.97 against a 2.01 fair from two books, a 1.8% undervalue. The Yankees have gone over in 6 of their last 7 games, and both teams' most recent games cleared this total. The line pays 98% of fair at a 49.9% hit rate.
BetMGM prices the Padres at 2.80, matching the fair line built from four books. This 0.1% edge comes from consensus pricing across the market, with a 35.8% hit rate implied. All quotes are over 30 minutes old.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
