Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 10 hit · CLV +1.3 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Dallas Wings +8 is priced at 96% of fair value across two books, with a 50% hit rate implying no edge. The pick made the slate on agreement among books and recent performance: Dallas covered this spread in 7 of the last 8 games and covered 8 points in the last game (108-100). All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Total Points Over 158.5 is priced at 98% of fair value with a 50.1% hit rate and a -2.2% EV, representing no meaningful edge. Dallas games went over this total in 8 straight, and both teams went over in their last contests. Expectations based on the last 8 games project 170.5 points against the 158.5 line. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
