Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.10 picks · 8 hit · CLV +0.6 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Las Vegas Aces at plus-1.5 is priced below fair value by 4 percent against three sources. The Aces covered this number in eight of their last eight games and posted a net rating of plus-19.5 versus Indiana's plus-2.5 over that stretch, though the book prices this advantage at just 96 cents per dollar of fair.
New York Liberty at 2.40 is priced at fair value according to four books. The Liberty posted a net rating of plus-5.4 over its last eight games against Minnesota's minus-3.4, an edge of 8.8 points, and won five of eight while the Lynx won three of eight.
New York Liberty covers plus-3.5 at minus-110 slightly below fair at minus-105 across three books. Over the last eight games Liberty's net rating of plus-5.4 towers over Minnesota's minus-3.4, a spread-relevant edge of 8.8, and the Liberty covered 3.5 in its most recent game.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
