Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 7 hit · CLV +0.3 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Philadelphia Union at 1.44 is priced below fair at 1.47 from two books, carrying -2% EV and a 68% hit rate. The Union have won six straight while Orlando City has won four of six, though all quotes are older than 30 minutes.
St. Louis City at 2.05 is priced below the 2.08 fair line from two books, showing -1.6% EV and a 48% hit rate. The City have won five straight and beat New York 3-1 in their last match, though quotes are older than 30 minutes.
FC Dallas at 2.34 decimal is fairly priced against the 2.34 fair line from two books, showing a 42.7% hit rate with minimal edge. Dallas have won five of their last six matches while LAFC has won just one of two.
Seattle Sounders at 2.10 is priced slightly below the 2.12 fair line from two books, offering a 47.1% hit rate with -1.1% EV. The Sounders won their last match 2-0, though they last played three days ago against an opponent with a seven-day layoff.
Houston Dynamo at 1.48 is priced below fair at 1.53 from two books, showing -3.1% EV with a 65.5% hit rate. The Dynamo have won three of five while Sporting Kansas City has won just one of seven, though all quotes are older than 30 minutes.
New England Revolution at 2.95 decimal is fairly priced against the 2.95 fair line built from two books, showing a 33.9% hit rate. The Revolution have won five of their last seven matches while Real Salt Lake has not won in seven, though all quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
