The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Indiana FeveratMinnesota LynxWNBA5:09 PM· 2 picks
DraftKings-4.5%WNBAMissedLate
-1081.93
✕Indiana Fever Spread -4.5
Indiana Fever covered -4.5 last game (96-77)Net rating +7.1 vs -1.9 a game (edge +9.0, last 8)
Fair from 2
+102
Hit
49.5%
Pays of Fair
95%
Closed
-115
CLV
+1.7 pts
Context · MediumContext: Olivia Miles ruled out Thursday with left calf injury; Anastasiia Olairi Kosu also out with foot injury. Olivia Miles injury update
Indiana Fever at -4.5 is priced at 95 pence per fair dollar across two sources. The Fever's net rating advantage of 9.0 points over the last eight games supports this line, and they covered this exact spread in their last outing. Hit rate of 49.5 percent reflects the tight margin.
PK-R43D3Published 28d ago
DraftKings-4.8%WNBAHitLate
-1051.95
✓Total Points Under 182.5
Minnesota Lynx games went under 182.5 in 7 of last 8Both teams' last games went under 182.5
Fair from 2
+105
Hit
48.8%
Pays of Fair
95%
Closed
-105
CLV
+0.0 pts
Context · MediumContext: Olivia Miles ruled out Thursday with left calf injury; Anastasiia Olairi Kosu also out with foot injury. Olivia Miles injury update
Total Points Under 182.5 is priced at 95 pence per fair dollar from two sources. Minnesota went under this total in seven of eight recent games, and both teams' latest contests settled below 182.5. The 48.8 percent hit rate indicates a close call at fair value.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
DraftKings+8.1%2 legs · 2 clustersMissed
+3594.59
✕St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline+138St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh PiratesMLB · 9:36 AM
Context · MediumContext: Olivia Miles ruled out Thursday with left calf injury; Anastasiia Olairi Kosu also out with foot injury. Olivia Miles injury update
Two independent clusters combine for 8.1% EV at 108% of fair value, with a 23.5% hit rate. Fever legs show a net rating edge of +9.0 over the last 8 games, supporting the spread leg's inclusion here.
