Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.13 picks · 7 hit · CLV +0.3 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Washington Mystics spread at -14.5 sits at fair with two books in agreement and a 51.8% implied hit rate. The Mystics own a net rating advantage of 27.0 points over the last eight games against Connecticut's deficit, and covered this spread in their most recent matchup.
Minnesota Lynx spread at -1.5 is priced at 95% of fair according to two sources, with a 47.9% hit rate. The Lynx covered this spread last game, though they face a net rating disadvantage of 4.3 points over their last eight contests.
Total points under 187.5 between Minnesota and Indiana is priced at 95% of fair, implying a 49.9% hit rate. The Lynx went under this total in seven of their last eight games, with expected scoring of 179.9 points versus the 187.5 line.
Golden State Valkyries total under 157.5 is priced at 95% of fair across two books, implying a 50% hit rate. The Valkyries have gone under this number in all eight of their last eight games, though quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Los Angeles at Las Vegas Under 178.5 is priced at -105, just under fair value of 2.06 across two books. The Sparks project to 172.4 points based on recent output and defensive exposure, with the under cashing in 6 of their last 8 games. A 48.5 percent hit rate and -5.5 percent edge reflects the book's modest discount to fair.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
