Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.9 picks · 5 hit · CLV +0.3 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Independiente Rivadavia at 2.4 decimal sits 3.3 percent under the 2.48 fair built from two sources, paying 97 percent of fair. The 40.3 hit rate yields negative EV on a pick priced at fair value. Independiente Rivadavia won 4 of 7 recently and scored 4 goals in its last match; Barracas Central took 2 of 5.
Lanus at 2.15 decimal prices below the 2.27 fair from two sources, at 95 percent of fair value with 44 percent hit rate and negative 5.5 percent EV. The book's price reflects fair odds where two market sources align. Lanus won 3 of 7 matches and 3-0 in its most recent game; Estudiantes has played once.
Cuiabá at 2.05 decimal prices just under the 2.11 fair line built from two market sources, paying 97 percent of fair value. The 47.3 hit rate and negative 3.1 percent EV reflect a tight match where the book's price is at fair. Cuiabá won 4 of its last 5 matches while Nautico has played once. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
