The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Alemannia AachenatWehen Wiesbaden3. Liga - Germany10:00 AM· 1 pick
Fanatics-8.6%3. Liga - GermanyMid
+1502.50
Alemannia Aachen MoneylineFinal, Grading
Our record on 3. Liga - Germany h2h 3way away, 60 d: 32-19 (63%)
Fair from 2
+174
Hit
36.6%
Pays of Fair
91%
Closed
+150
CLV
+0.0 pts
Alemannia Aachen at 2.5 decimal is priced 8.6% below fair value of 2.74 from two books. Our 60-day record on 3. Liga away moneylines shows 32 wins in 51 bets, a 63% win rate. At a 36.6% hit rate, Fanatics pays 91% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-SKBTNPublished 8d ago
FC Ingolstadt 04atWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga - Germany10:00 AM· 1 pick
Fanatics-6.2%3. Liga - GermanyMid
+2103.10
FC Ingolstadt 04 MoneylineFinal, Grading
Our record on 3. Liga - Germany h2h 3way away, 60 d: 32-19 (63%)
Fair from 2
+230
Hit
30.3%
Pays of Fair
94%
Closed
+210
CLV
+0.0 pts
FC Ingolstadt 04 at 3.1 decimal is priced 6.2% below fair value of 3.3 from two books. Our 60-day record on 3. Liga away moneylines shows 32 wins in 51 bets, a 63% win rate. At a 30.3% hit rate, Fanatics pays 94% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-EV7XHPublished 8d ago
Fortuna DüsseldorfatSC Preußen Münster3. Liga - Germany10:00 AM· 1 pick
Fanatics-5.3%3. Liga - GermanyMid
+1202.20
Fortuna Düsseldorf MoneylineFinal, Grading
Our record on 3. Liga - Germany h2h 3way away, 60 d: 32-19 (63%)
Fair from 2
+132
Hit
43.0%
Pays of Fair
95%
Closed
+120
CLV
+0.0 pts
Fortuna Düsseldorf at 2.2 decimal is priced 5.3% below fair value of 2.32 from two books. Our 60-day record on 3. Liga away moneylines shows 32 wins in 51 bets, a 63% win rate. At a 43% hit rate, Fanatics pays 95% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-6HJZKPublished 8d ago
Jahn RegensburgatSC Verl3. Liga - Germany10:00 AM· 1 pick
Fanatics-10.5%3. Liga - GermanyMid
+1902.90
Jahn Regensburg MoneylineFinal, Grading
Our record on 3. Liga - Germany h2h 3way away, 60 d: 32-19 (63%)
Fair from 2
+224
Hit
30.9%
Pays of Fair
89%
Closed
+190
CLV
+0.0 pts
Jahn Regensburg at 2.9 decimal is priced 10.5% below fair value of 3.24 from two books. Our 60-day record on 3. Liga away moneylines shows 32 wins in 51 bets, a 63% win rate. At a 30.9% hit rate, Fanatics pays 89% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-LNNY2Published 8d ago
River PlateatSarmiento de JuninPrimera División - Argentina3:00 PM· 1 pick
BetMGM-4.2%Primera División - ArgentinaMissedMid
-1411.71
✕River Plate Moneyline
River Plate won its last game 1-0
Fair from 2
-128
Hit
56.0%
Pays of Fair
96%
Closed
-141
CLV
+0.0 pts
River Plate at 1.71 decimal is priced 4.2% below fair value of 1.78 from two sources. The club won its last match 1-0. At a 56% hit rate, this moneyline pays 96% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-HWHVCPublished 8d ago
Orlando City SCatToronto FCMLS4:30 PM· 1 pick
FanDuel-5.8%MLSMissedMid
+1902.90
✕Orlando City SC Moneyline
Orlando City SC won 5 of last 7; opponent 3 of 6Orlando City SC won its last game 3-2
Fair from 2
+208
Hit
32.5%
Pays of Fair
94%
Closed
+190
CLV
+0.0 pts
Orlando City SC at 2.9 decimal is priced 5.8% below fair value of 3.08 built from two books. Orlando won 5 of their last 7 matches and won their most recent game 3-2. At a 32.5% hit rate, this moneyline pays 94% of fair. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-AV9VSPublished 8d ago
Philadelphia UnionatChicago FireMLS5:30 PM· 1 pick
DraftKings-5.3%MLSHitMid
+1552.55
✓Philadelphia Union Moneyline
Philadelphia Union won 7 of last 7; opponent 3 of 5Philadelphia Union won its last game 2-1
Fair from 2
+169
Hit
37.2%
Pays of Fair
95%
Closed
+155
CLV
+0.0 pts
Philadelphia Union at 2.55 decimal is priced 5.3% below fair value of 2.69 built from two books. The Union won 7 of their last 7 matches and took their most recent game 2-1. At a 37.2% hit rate, Fanatics pays 95% of the fair line. All quotes are older than 30 minutes.
PK-C7MCTPublished 8d ago
Parlays
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.