Last 30 days · 282 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 146–127
Every pick published, placed or not.15 picks · 8 hit · CLV +0.6 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Cleveland Guardians moneyline at -112 prices at 97 percent of fair across four books, yielding a 51.5 percent hit rate and -2.6 percent EV. The Guardians' recent 9-3 win and Parker Messick's 19.3 percent strikeout-to-walk rate support the positioning, though Messick's ERA sits 81 basis points ahead of his xFIP, a caution on sustainability.
Cleveland Guardians moneyline at -112 prices at 97 percent of fair across four books, yielding a 51.3 percent hit rate and -3.1 percent EV. The Guardians' recent 9-3 win and Parker Messick's 19.3 percent strikeout-to-walk rate support the positioning, though Messick's ERA sits 81 basis points ahead of his xFIP, a caution on sustainability.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
