Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.11 picks · 6 hit · CLV +1.9 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Atlanta Dream +1.5 prices at -102 against a fair value of -114 built from two books, representing 98 percent of fair. The 49.3 percent hit rate carries -2.5 percent EV. Atlanta covered this spread in seven of the last eight games and owns a net rating advantage of 9.8 points per game over New York in their last eight matchups.
Over 176.5 at -108 against a fair -123 from two books prices at 97 percent of fair with -3.3 percent EV and a 50.1 percent hit rate. Both teams cleared this total in their last games.
Over 170.5 at -108 against fair -122 across three books prices at 97 percent of fair with -3 percent EV and a 50.3 percent hit rate. Both teams' most recent games surpassed this total.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
