Last 30 days · 269 published · CLV +0.6 pts · 139–122
Every pick published, placed or not.11 picks · 8 hit · CLV +0.0 pts
The best of today's priced board, by game in kickoff order: a fair built from two or more books (or a calibrated model), a hit rate between 30% and 70%, a price no longer than +230, at one of your books - ordered by a score that weighs the EV, how many books agree, the trend and our own record on that market. Not every pick is an edge; the EV on each card says which are. Up to 8 a sport, 2 a game, 15 a day; later windows only add. The paragraph is written from those numbers and nothing else.
Groningen to win at 1.54 decimal is priced at 97 percent of fair across two books, leaving minimal room. The line has moved 3.5 points in Groningen's favor since opening, and a 63.1 percent hit rate on the fair suggests the book's price is at fair value.
Brentford to win at 2.6 sits three-tenths below fair across two books, paying 96 pct of true odds. The line has drifted our way by 6.4 points since the opener. A 37.1 pct hit rate builds modest positive value, though the edge rounds below 4 pct.
Built only from the picks above: two or three legs, one per game, priced at one book, a combined hit rate of at least 20% and positive EV - at most two a day, and none on a flat day. No CLV on a parlay: a combination has no published closing price.
No parlays in this view.
