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Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

KickoffOct 4, 5:17 PMPhoenix
StatusFinal
LeagueNHL
Score1 - 6Calgary Flames P3 14:25 PPSeattle Kraken P1 02:22 · P1 04:40 · P1 07:40 · P2 11:58 · P2 19:34 · P3 15:04
RestRest: Seattle Kraken 1D · Calgary Flames 1Dtracked competitions only
Novig- / +99900
ProphetX- / +20000
Jonathan Huberdeau out · HipJacob Melanson out · Upper BodyJake O'Brien out · Lower Body

Closing lines captured Oct 4, 5:14 PM.

Moneyline

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Seattle Krakenwon
-10000-5.2%17d
--
-5000-4.2%17d
--154193.9%
Calgary Flameslost
+3300+107.2%?17d
--
+1200-20.8%17d
-+15416.1%

Spread model fair on 4 of 14 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Seattle Kraken -1.5wonSynthetic hold 2.7%
+150-9.8%17d
+160-6.2%17d
+164-4.8%17d
+160-6.2%17d
+17736.1%
Calgary Flames +1.5lost
-185-1.6%17d
-200-4.1%17d
-196-3.5%17d
-200-4.1%17d
-17763.9%
Seattle Kraken -2.5won-197m66.3%
Seattle Kraken +2.5won-26316m99.6%
Calgary Flames +2.5lost+197m33.7%
Seattle Kraken -3.5wonSynthetic hold 2.6%
-105-4.8%17d
+108+1.6%17d
+100-2.3%17d
-110-6.7%17d
+10548.8%
Calgary Flames +3.5lost
-125-7.9%17d
-141-12.5%17d
-130-9.4%17d
-120-6.4%17d
-10551.2%
Seattle Kraken -4won-13657.5%
Calgary Flames +4lost+13642.5%
Seattle Kraken -4.5won+217m31.6%
Seattle Kraken -5push-12054.5%
Calgary Flames +5push+12045.5%
Seattle Kraken -5.5lostSynthetic hold 4.3%
+270+37.2%?17d
+265+35.3%?17d
+260+33.5%?17d
+280+40.9%?17d
+17037.1%
Calgary Flames +5.5won
-400-21.4%17d
-385-20.7%17d
-357-19.5%17d
-417-22.0%17d
-17062.9%

Total Goals model fair on 7 of 15 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 4.5won-729m87.9%
Under 4.5lost+729m12.1%
Over 5.5wonSynthetic hold 3.1%
-120-4.1%17d
-130-7.3%17d
-125-5.7%17d
-133-8.3%17d
-120-4.1%17d
-11052.4%
Under 5.5lost
-110-9.1%17d
+100-4.8%17d
-105-7.2%17d
+106-1.9%17d
-110-9.1%17d
+11047.6%
Over 6wonSynthetic hold 4.4%
-102-14.3%18d
+13143.3%
Under 6lost
-118+4.9%?18d
-13156.7%
Over 6.5wonSynthetic hold 2.4%
-118-16.6%17d
-115-15.7%17d
-125-18.9%17d
-130-20.2%17d
-125-18.9%17d
+12245.1%
Under 6.5lost
-110+4.9%17d
-114+3.3%17d
-105+7.1%?17d
+104+12.0%?17d
-105+7.1%?17d
-12254.9%
Over 7push+11346.9%
Under 7push-11353.1%
Over 7.5lostArb -5.9%
-147-37.6%17d
-154-38.7%17d
+104-24.2%17d
-145-37.2%17d
+169m37.1%
Under 7.5won
+112+33.3%?17d
+120+38.3%?17d
-130+11.3%?17d
+110+32.0%?17d
-169m62.9%
Over 8.5lostSynthetic hold 7.0%
+110-57.2%17d
+391m20.4%
Under 8.5won
-149+33.0%?17d
-391m79.6%
Under 9.5won-986m90.8%

Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.

Player props 32 of 41 priced against a sharp source

Adam Larsson

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 28% implied at DraftKings (-8 pts)Home 38% n 8

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.9% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+255 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5won
-357 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Berkly Catton

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 44% implied at DraftKings (-4 pts)Home 50% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+125-10.8%17d
+15239.6%
Under 0.5lost
-169-4.0%17d
-15260.4%

Bobby McMann

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 49% implied at BetMGM (-9 pts)Home 50% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 2.5L5 20% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 52% implied at FanDuel (+8 pts)Home 75% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.2%
+105+1.3%17d
-110-5.6%17d
+10249.4%
Under 0.5lost
-141-13.5%17d
-125-9.0%17d
-10250.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 2.5won
-106-3.5%17d
-120-9.0%17d
+10149.7%
Under 2.5lost
-122-8.5%17d
-115-6.0%17d
-10150.3%

Brandon Montour

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 25% n 20vs 43% implied at BetMGM (-3 pts)Home 25% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 2.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 48% implied at DraftKings (+2 pts)Home 63% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 7.0%
+135-2.6%17d
+135-2.6%17d
+14141.5%
Under 0.5lost
-185-9.8%17d
-185-9.8%17d
-14158.5%
Over 1.5won-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 2.5won
+108-4.3%17d
+110-3.4%17d
+11746.0%
Under 2.5lost
-141-7.7%17d
-149-9.8%17d
-11754.0%

Chandler Stephenson

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 53% implied at DraftKings (+27 pts)Home 75% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.5%
-120-8.2%17d
-115-6.2%17d
-10150.2%
Under 0.5lost
-110-4.8%17d
-120-8.8%17d
+10149.8%
Over 1.5won-

Jared McCann

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 62% implied at BetMGM (-2 pts)Home 75% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 70% n 20Home 50% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
-164-11.1%17d
-164-11.1%17d
-12355.2%
Under 0.5lost
+125+0.7%17d
+125+0.7%17d
+12344.8%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5won-16562.3%
Under 1.5lost+16537.7%
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 2.7%
+116-10.3%17d
+135-2.5%17d
+14141.5%
Under 2.5won
-152-2.9%17d
-185-9.9%17d
-14158.5%

Joel Farabee

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 44% implied at BetMGM (+16 pts)Away 60% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 100% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 56% implied at FanDuel (+24 pts)Away 70% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.2%
+125-5.4%17d
+110-11.7%17d
+13842.1%
Under 0.5lost
-164-6.7%17d
-149-3.2%17d
-13857.9%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5won
-125-4.0%17d
-135-7.2%17d
-11453.3%
Under 1.5lost
-104-8.6%17d
+100-6.7%17d
+11446.7%

Jordan Eberle

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 56% implied at DraftKings (+14 pts)Home 63% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 60% implied at FanDuel (-10 pts)Home 75% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.3%
-135-11.3%17d
-125-8.2%17d
-10451.0%
Under 0.5lost
+100-2.0%17d
-105-4.4%17d
+10449.0%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5won
-147-5.4%17d
-164-9.3%17d
-12956.3%
Under 1.5lost
+112-7.4%17d
+120-3.9%17d
+12943.7%

Kaapo Kakko

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 41% implied at DraftKings (+9 pts)Home 63% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 10% n 20vs 40% implied at DraftKings (-30 pts)Home 13% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
+135-6.8%17d
+145-2.9%17d
+15239.7%
Under 0.5won
-185-7.1%17d
-196-8.9%17d
-15260.3%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
+150-3.3%17d
+15938.7%
Under 1.5won
-204-8.6%17d
-15961.3%

Kevin Bahl

  • Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 24% implied at DraftKings (-4 pts)Away 20% n 10

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.0% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+310 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5won
-455 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Mackie Samoskevich

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 34% implied at DraftKings (+16 pts)Home 86% n 7

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.5% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+195 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5lost
-270 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Matt Coronato

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 70% n 20vs 52% implied at DraftKings (+8 pts)Away 60% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 2.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 41% implied at FanDuel (+9 pts)Away 50% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 7.3%
-110-8.0%17d
+10848.2%
Under 0.5won
-125-6.7%17d
-10851.8%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 2.5won
+146-0.3%17d
+135-4.7%17d
+14740.5%
Under 2.5lost
-192-9.6%17d
-185-8.4%17d
-14759.5%

Matty Beniers

  • Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 52% implied at BetMGM (-22 pts)Home 50% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 55% implied at DraftKings (-15 pts)Home 38% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.5%
-110-11.1%17d
-110-11.1%17d
+11546.5%
Under 0.5lost
-120-2.2%17d
-125-3.8%17d
-11553.5%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
-139-11.2%17d
-120-5.5%17d
-10751.6%
Under 1.5won
+106-0.4%17d
-110-7.6%17d
+10748.4%

Matvei Gridin

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 45% implied at DraftKings (-5 pts)Away 50% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 62% implied at FanDuel (-2 pts)Away 50% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 2.8%
+100-13.0%17d
+120-4.3%17d
+13043.5%
Under 0.5lost
-135-1.7%17d
-164-9.0%17d
-13056.5%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
-164-3.2%17d
-189-8.0%17d
-15160.1%
Under 1.5won
+125-10.3%17d
+140-4.3%17d
+15139.9%

Mikael Backlund

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 41% implied at DraftKings (-11 pts)Away 20% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 59% implied at DraftKings (+1 pts)Away 60% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 2.8%
+125-15.0%17d
+145-7.5%17d
+16537.8%
Under 0.5won
-164+0.2%17d
-196-6.0%17d
-16562.2%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5won
-147-6.0%17d
-145-5.4%17d
-12756.0%
Under 1.5lost
+112-6.7%17d
+105-9.8%17d
+12744.0%

Morgan Frost

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 49% implied at DraftKings (+1 pts)Away 40% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 58% implied at FanDuel (+22 pts)Away 60% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.3%
-110-11.4%17d
+105-4.9%17d
+11646.4%
Under 0.5lost
-120-1.9%17d
-141-8.3%17d
-11653.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5won
-141-2.6%17d
-161-7.7%17d
-13257.0%
Under 1.5lost
+108-10.5%17d
+120-5.3%17d
+13243.0%

Ryan Lindgren

  • Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 20vs 19% implied at DraftKings (-19 pts)Home 0% n 8 · After a loss 0% n 13

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.7% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+425 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5won
-667 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Ryan Strome

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 39% implied at DraftKings (+1 pts)Away 33% n 9

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 2.8%
+130-15.2%17d
+155-6.0%17d
+17136.9%
Under 0.5won
-175-0.9%17d
-213-7.2%17d
-17163.1%
Over 1.5lost-

Ryan Winterton

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 25% n 20vs 32% implied at DraftKings (+8 pts)Home 11% n 9

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.4% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+210 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5won
-294 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Ryker Evans

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 27% implied at DraftKings (+23 pts)Home 38% n 8

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.0% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+270 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5lost
-385 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Samuel Honzek

  • Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 30% implied at DraftKings (-10 pts)Away 18% n 11 · After a loss 13% n 15

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.2% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+230 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5won
-323 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Shane Wright

  • Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 43% implied at DraftKings (-3 pts)Home 40% n 5

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.7% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+130 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5lost
-175 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Simon Nemec

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 34% implied at DraftKings (-14 pts)Away 20% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 2.0%
+155-15.9%17d
+190-4.3%17d
+20333.0%
Under 0.5won
-208-0.8%17d
-263-7.5%17d
-20367.0%
Over 1.5lost-

Vince Dunn

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 52% implied at BetMGM (-2 pts)Home 38% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 64% implied at FanDuel (-14 pts)Home 50% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.5%
-110-7.2%17d
-115-9.2%17d
+10648.6%
Under 0.5lost
-120-5.9%17d
-115-3.8%17d
-10651.4%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
-179-5.8%17d
-185-7.0%17d
-15260.4%
Under 1.5won
+136-6.5%17d
+135-6.9%17d
+15239.6%

Yegor Sharangovich

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 38% implied at DraftKings (+2 pts)Away 30% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 60% implied at DraftKings (-20 pts)Away 10% n 10

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.7% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+165 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5won
-227 17dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
-161-8.2%17d
-149-5.4%17d
-13156.7%
Under 1.5won
+122-3.8%17d
+110-9.0%17d
+13143.3%

Zach Whitecloud

  • Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 22% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Away 10% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+240-25.0%17d
+350-0.8%17d
+35322.1%
Under 0.5won
-370-1.0%17d
-526-7.2%17d
-35377.9%

Zayne Parekh

  • Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 42% implied at BetMGM (-12 pts)Away 20% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 20% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 51% implied at DraftKings (-1 pts)Away 60% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.5%
+140-4.4%17d
+130-8.4%17d
+15139.8%
Under 0.5won
-189-7.9%17d
-179-6.1%17d
-15160.2%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5won
-108-6.2%17d
-105-5.2%17d
+10648.6%
Under 1.5lost
-120-6.0%17d
-130-9.0%17d
-10651.4%

Line movement

Seattle Kraken to win · since 10:01 AM

betmgm-10000
fanduel-5000
draftkings-2500
williamhill_us-5000
fanatics-3333

Over 5.5 · since 10:01 AM

betmgm-120
fanduel-130
draftkings-125
williamhill_us-133
fanatics-120