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Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers

KickoffOct 12, 2:10 PMPhoenix
StatusFinal
LeagueMLB
Score4 - 7Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers
RestRest: Milwaukee Brewers 1D · Los Angeles Dodgers 1Dtracked competitions only
Pinnacle-909 / +582
Betfair Exchange-3333 / +1700
Novig-5000 / +3233
ProphetX-5000 / +3800

Lineups posted at Oct 12, 10:39 AM Phoenix.

29°C · Rain 4% · Wind 20 km/h
Los Angeles Dodgers · XIMookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernández, Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith, Max Muncy, Andy Pages, Kyle Tucker, Tommy Edman
Milwaukee Brewers · XIJackson Chourio, Brice Turang, William Contreras, Jake Bauers, Christian Yelich, Garrett Mitchell, Cooper Pratt, Sal Frelick, David Hamilton
Blake Treinen out · ShoulderWill Klein out · ElbowEric Lauer out · ElbowGavin Stone out · ShoulderJake Cousins out · ElbowBen Casparius out · ShoulderBrusdar Graterol out · BackBrandon Woodruff out · ShoulderGrant Anderson out · BicepsBrian Fitzpatrick out · Elbow

Closing lines captured Oct 12, 2:14 PM.

Moneyline

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Milwaukee Brewerswon
-5000-5.1%9d
-10000-6.0%9d
-10000-6.0%9d
-5000-5.1%9d
-2500-3.2%9d
-133993.1%
Los Angeles Dodgerslost
+1200-9.7%9d
+1500+11.2%?9d
+1400+4.2%?9d
+1200-9.7%9d
+1100-16.6%9d
+13396.9%

Spread model fair on 21 of 45 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Milwaukee Brewers -1wonSynthetic hold 6.3%
+183+72.5%?10d
-15661.0%
Milwaukee Brewers +1wonSynthetic hold 6.0%
-127-20.3%10d
+12544.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1lost
-102+9.8%?10d
-12555.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers +1lost+1 at -250 (DraftKings) vs +1.5 at -175 (Caesars): take +1.5
-250-45.3%10d
+15639.0%
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5wonArb -1.9%
+190-4.6%9d
+174-9.9%9d
+174-9.9%9d
+134-23.0%9d
+180-7.9%9d
+20432.9%
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5won------13757.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5lost-----+13742.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5lost
-250-6.0%9d
-238-4.7%9d
-233-4.0%9d
-175+5.4%?9d
-250-6.0%9d
-20467.1%
Milwaukee Brewers -2wonSynthetic hold 6.1%-2 at +345 (DraftKings) vs -1.5 at +190 (BetMGM): take -2
+345-16.5%10d
+433m18.8%
Milwaukee Brewers +2wonSynthetic hold 5.9%
-238-5.3%10d
-20066.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers -2lost
+179-7.0%10d
+20033.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers +2lost+2 at -526 (DraftKings) vs +2.5 at -182 (FanDuel): take +2.5
-526-3.3%10d
-433m81.2%
Milwaukee Brewers -2.5wonSynthetic hold 2.2%
+160-53.2%9d
+136-57.5%9d
+165-52.3%9d
+162-52.8%9d
+150-55.0%9d
+45518.0%
Milwaukee Brewers +2.5won-----23770.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5lost----+23729.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers +2.5lost
-208+21.4%?9d
-182+27.1%?9d
-222+18.9%?9d
-217+19.7%?9d
-204+22.2%?9d
-45582.0%
Milwaukee Brewers -3pushSynthetic hold 6.0%-3 at +546 (DraftKings) vs -2.5 at +165 (DraftKings): take -3
+546-16.2%10d
+671m13.0%
Milwaukee Brewers +3wonSynthetic hold 5.7%+3 at -417 (DraftKings) vs +3.5 at -417 (Fanatics): take +3.5
-417-4.8%10d
-33176.8%
Los Angeles Dodgers -3lost
+293-8.7%10d
+33123.2%
Los Angeles Dodgers +3push+3 at -1000 (DraftKings) vs +3.5 at -909 (Fanatics): take +3.5
-1000-4.3%10d
-671m87.0%
Milwaukee Brewers -3.5lostSynthetic hold 2.5%
+575-23.5%10d
+700-9.4%10d
+578-23.2%10d
+550-26.4%10d
+78311.3%
Milwaukee Brewers +3.5wonSynthetic hold 2.8%
-476-4.4%10d
-526-5.9%10d
-476-4.4%10d
-417-2.0%10d
-37779.0%
Los Angeles Dodgers -3.5lost
+320-12.0%10d
+350-5.7%10d
+324-11.1%10d
+310-14.0%10d
+37721.0%
Los Angeles Dodgers +3.5won
-1111-3.3%10d
-1429-5.1%10d
-1111-3.3%10d
-909-1.6%10d
-78288.7%
Milwaukee Brewers -4lostSynthetic hold 5.9%-4 at +810 (DraftKings) vs -3.5 at +700 (FanDuel): take -3.5
+810-21.6%10d
+1061m8.6%
Milwaukee Brewers +4wonSynthetic hold 6.0%+4 at -769 (DraftKings) vs +4.5 at -714 (Fanatics): take +4.5
-769-18.3%10d
-261m72.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers -4lost-4 at +458 (DraftKings) vs -3.5 at +350 (FanDuel): take -4
+458+54.5%?10d
+261m27.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers +4won+4 at -2000 (DraftKings) vs +4.5 at -3333 (FanDuel): take +4
-2000-4.0%10d
-1062m91.4%
Milwaukee Brewers -4.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
+1060-4.1%10d
+1110m8.3%
Milwaukee Brewers +4.5wonSynthetic hold 3.2%
-909-4.9%10d
-833-4.0%10d
-714-2.3%10d
-60085.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers -4.5lost
+540-8.6%10d
+489-15.9%10d
+460-20.0%10d
+60014.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers +4.5won
-3333-5.5%10d
-1110m91.7%
Milwaukee Brewers +5wonSynthetic hold 5.8%+5 at -1429 (DraftKings) vs +5.5 at -1111 (Fanatics): take +5.5
-1429-14.6%10d
-396m79.8%
Los Angeles Dodgers -5lost-5 at +690 (DraftKings) vs -4.5 at +540 (FanDuel): take -4.5
+690+59.2%?10d
+396m20.2%
Milwaukee Brewers -5.5lost
+1400-20.2%10d
+1780m5.3%
Milwaukee Brewers +5.5wonSynthetic hold 2.8%
-1667-5.5%10d
-1667-5.5%10d
-1111-2.8%10d
-82189.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers -5.5lost
+800-2.3%10d
+720-10.9%10d
+650-18.5%10d
+82110.9%
Los Angeles Dodgers +5.5won--1779m94.7%
Milwaukee Brewers -6.5lost
+1800-37.8%10d
+2955m3.3%
Milwaukee Brewers +6.5wonSynthetic hold 2.9%
-3333-10.7%10d
-1667-8.1%10d
-652m86.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers -6.5lost
+1060+54.2%?10d
+900+33.0%?10d
+652m13.3%
Milwaukee Brewers -7.5lost-+5093m1.9%
Milwaukee Brewers +7.5wonSynthetic hold 4.5%
-5000-7.2%10d
-1009m91.0%
Los Angeles Dodgers -7.5lost
+1400+35.2%?10d
+1009m9.0%
Los Angeles Dodgers -8.5lost
+1800+11.3%?10d
+1608m5.9%

Total Runs model fair on 25 of 51 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 5.4%
-10000-0.4%10d
-7299m98.6%
Under 1.5lost
+1350-80.4%10d
+1400-79.7%10d
+7304m1.4%
Over 2wonSynthetic hold 5.6%
-10000-0.4%10d
-7194m98.6%
Under 2lost
+1350-80.2%10d
+7220m1.4%
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 5.8%
-2500-4.7%10d
-2500-4.7%10d
-108991.6%
Under 2.5lost
+875-18.0%10d
+900-15.9%10d
+10898.4%
Over 3wonSynthetic hold 3.6%
-2000+2.3%?10d
-1250+5.3%?10d
-3831m97.5%
Under 3lost
+800-77.1%10d
+750-78.4%10d
+3838m2.5%
Over 3.5wonSynthetic hold 3.6%
-714-5.8%10d
-667-5.0%10d
-625-4.2%10d
-556-2.5%10d
-47582.6%
Under 3.5lost
+425-8.7%10d
+420-9.6%10d
+385-15.7%10d
+380-16.6%10d
+47517.4%
Over 4wonSynthetic hold 3.2%
-625+10.8%?10d
-556+12.7%?10d
-500+14.6%?10d
-2132m95.5%
Under 4lost
+400-77.6%10d
+356-79.6%10d
+350-79.8%10d
+2133m4.5%
Over 4.5wonSynthetic hold 3.7%
-400-6.1%10d
-385-5.4%10d
-370-4.6%10d
-345-3.1%10d
-30275.1%
Under 4.5lost
+280-5.4%10d
+280-5.4%10d
+262-9.8%10d
+260-10.3%10d
+30224.9%
Over 5wonSynthetic hold 2.4%
-323+21.2%?10d
-303+23.0%?10d
-270+26.7%?10d
-1233m92.5%
Under 5lost
+240-74.5%10d
+220-76.0%10d
+210-76.7%10d
+1233m7.5%
Over 5.5wonSynthetic hold 3.4%
-200-5.3%10d
-192-4.0%10d
-192-4.0%10d
-179-1.5%10d
-17163.2%
Under 5.5lost
+154-6.4%10d
+150-7.9%10d
+146-9.4%10d
+145-9.7%10d
+17136.8%
Over 6wonSynthetic hold 3.3%
-169-4.7%10d
-164-3.5%10d
-149+0.1%10d
-15060.0%
Under 6lost
+130-7.9%10d
+126-9.5%10d
+125-9.9%10d
+15040.0%
Over 6.5wonSynthetic hold 3.1%
-141-7.2%10d
-130-4.0%10d
-127-2.9%10d
-120-0.7%10d
-125-2.4%10d
-11954.3%
Under 6.5lost
+105-6.2%10d
+106-5.8%10d
+104-6.7%10d
+102-7.6%10d
+105-6.2%10d
+11945.8%
Over 7wonSynthetic hold 1.9%
+105-2.9%10d
-101-5.8%10d
+110-0.6%10d
+105-2.9%10d
+11147.3%
Under 7lost
-125-5.2%10d
-119-3.1%10d
-132-7.3%10d
-125-5.2%10d
-11152.7%
Over 7.5wonSynthetic hold 3.5%
-118-12.5%9d
-110-9.7%9d
-119-13.0%9d
-112-10.7%9d
-125-14.9%9d
+11247.3%
Under 7.5lost
-110+0.7%9d
-122-4.0%9d
-109+1.2%9d
-118-2.5%9d
-105+2.8%9d
-11252.7%
Over 8wonSynthetic hold 3.0%
+165-2.1%10d
+152-6.9%10d
+155-5.8%10d
+17137.0%
Under 8lost
-222-8.6%10d
-200-5.4%10d
-189-3.5%10d
-17163.0%
Over 8.5wonSynthetic hold 3.9%
+185+15.5%?10d
+180+13.4%?10d
+170+9.4%?10d
+175+11.4%?10d
+14740.5%
Under 8.5lost
-250-16.7%10d
-233-14.9%10d
-227-14.3%10d
-222-13.7%10d
-14759.5%
Over 9wonSynthetic hold 2.6%
+250+125.5%?10d
+232+113.9%?10d
+220+106.2%?10d
-181m64.4%
Under 9lost
-345-54.1%10d
-323-53.4%10d
-286-52.0%10d
+181m35.6%
Over 9.5wonSynthetic hold 3.1%
+275+47.9%?10d
+280+49.9%?10d
+262+42.8%?10d
+250+38.1%?10d
+15439.4%
Under 9.5lost
-400-24.3%10d
-385-23.7%10d
-370-23.1%10d
-333-21.3%10d
-15360.6%
Over 10wonSynthetic hold 3.3%
+340+136.7%?10d
+328+130.2%?10d
+310+120.5%?10d
-116m53.8%
Under 10lost
-526-45.0%10d
-500-44.5%10d
-417-42.7%10d
+116m46.2%
Over 10.5wonSynthetic hold 3.5%
-135-15.7%9d
-145-18.1%9d
-127-13.3%9d
-130-14.2%9d
-125-12.8%9d
+10648.5%
Under 10.5lost
+105+5.7%9d
+108+7.2%9d
-102+2.1%9d
-102+2.1%9d
-105+0.5%9d
-10651.5%
Over 11pushSynthetic hold 3.5%
+500+157.1%?10d
+488+151.9%?10d
+430+127.1%?10d
+133m42.8%
Under 11push
-909-36.6%10d
-833-36.0%10d
-667-34.3%10d
-133m57.2%
Over 11.5lostSynthetic hold 1.1%
+118-5.7%9d
+118-5.7%9d
+116-6.5%9d
-106-16.0%9d
+115-7.0%9d
+13143.3%
Under 11.5won
-149-5.3%9d
-159-7.5%9d
-152-5.8%9d
-123+2.7%9d
-154-6.4%9d
-13156.7%
Over 12lostSynthetic hold 6.4%
+650+143.5%?10d
+208m32.5%
Under 12won
-1429-27.7%10d
-208m67.5%
Over 12.5lostSynthetic hold 5.0%
+675+128.7%?10d
+750+150.8%?10d
+239m29.5%
Under 12.5won
-1429-24.6%10d
-1667-25.3%10d
-239m70.5%
Over 13.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
+1060+149.6%?10d
+365m21.5%
Under 13.5won
-3333-19.2%10d
-365m78.5%
Over 14.5lost
+1300+109.3%?10d
+569m14.9%
Under 14.5won--569m85.1%
Over 15.5lost
+1700+77.8%?10d
+913m9.9%

Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.

Player props 44 of 44 priced against a sharp source

Andy Pages

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 12% implied at Caesars (+8 pts)Away 20% n 10 · vs Brewers 33% n 6 · After a loss 29% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 61% implied at BetMGM (-11 pts)Away 80% n 10 · vs Brewers 50% n 6 · After a loss 57% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+750-3.0%10d
+77611.4%
Under 0.5won-77688.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.6%
-154-7.0%10d
-154-7.0%10d
-12956.4%
Under 0.5won
+115-6.2%10d
+115-6.2%10d
+12943.6%
Over 1.5lost+22031.2%
Under 1.5won-22068.8%
Over 2.5lost+43918.6%
Under 2.5won-43981.4%

Brice Turang

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 15% n 20vs 10% implied at Caesars (+10 pts)Home 25% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 62% implied at BetMGM (+18 pts)Home 75% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+950-13.7%10d
+11178.2%
Under 0.5won-111791.8%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
-161-6.2%10d
-164-6.8%10d
-13757.9%
Under 0.5lost
+120-7.3%10d
+123-6.1%10d
+13742.1%
Over 1.5won+21032.2%
Under 1.5lost-21067.8%
Over 2.5won+44618.3%
Under 2.5lost-44681.7%

Christian Yelich

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 6% n 16vs 10% implied at Caesars (+0 pts)Home 0% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 69% n 16vs 57% implied at BetMGM (+23 pts)Home 86% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+950-10.9%10d
+10788.5%
Under 0.5won-107891.5%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.1%
-135-2.5%10d
-145-5.3%10d
-12756.0%
Under 0.5lost
+100-12.0%10d
+109-8.1%10d
+12744.0%
Over 1.5won+23230.1%
Under 1.5lost-23269.9%
Over 2.5lost+51016.4%
Under 2.5won-51083.6%

Cooper Pratt

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 18vs 6% implied at Caesars (-6 pts)Home 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 72% n 18vs 59% implied at BetMGM (+11 pts)Home 63% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+1500-3.3%10d
+15556.0%
Under 0.5won-155594.0%

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
-145-6.9%10d
-147-7.4%10d
-12355.1%
Under 0.5lost
+105-8.0%10d
+111-5.3%10d
+12344.9%
Over 1.5won+27726.5%
Under 1.5lost-27773.5%
Over 2.5lost+62913.7%
Under 2.5won-62986.3%

David Hamilton

  • Home Runs 0.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 13vs 8% implied at Caesars (-8 pts)Home 0% n 6
  • Total Bases 0.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 62% n 13vs 49% implied at BetMGM (+11 pts)Home 67% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+1100-22.9%10d
+14576.4%
Under 0.5won-145893.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
+105-5.2%10d
+103-6.2%10d
+11646.2%
Under 0.5lost
-141-8.1%10d
-137-7.0%10d
-11653.8%
Over 1.5won+36121.7%
Under 1.5lost-36178.3%

Enrique Hernandez

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 14% n 14vs 12% implied at Caesars (+8 pts)Away 22% n 9
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 43% n 14vs 55% implied at BetMGM (-15 pts)Away 56% n 9

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5void
+750-13.5%10d
+88310.2%
Under 0.5void-88389.8%
Over 1.5void-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5voidSynthetic hold 6.5%
-120-9.0%10d
+10149.7%
Under 0.5void
-110-4.0%10d
-10150.3%
Over 1.5void-

Freddie Freeman

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 11% n 18vs 17% implied at Caesars (+3 pts)Away 11% n 9 · After a loss 17% n 6
  • Total Bases 1.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 39% n 18vs 41% implied at DraftKings (-11 pts)Away 33% n 9 · After a loss 50% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+475-8.0%10d
+52516.0%
Under 0.5won-52584.0%
Over 1.5lost
+5500 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Under 0.5won-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 5.5%
+140-4.9%10d
+142-4.1%10d
+135-6.8%10d
+15239.6%
Under 1.5won
-189-7.7%10d
-189-7.7%10d
-182-6.4%10d
-15260.4%
Over 2.5lost+31224.3%
Under 2.5won-31275.7%

Garrett Mitchell

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 5% n 19vs 10% implied at Caesars (+0 pts)Home 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 58% n 19vs 52% implied at Caesars (+8 pts)Home 50% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+950-17.2%10d
+11687.9%
Under 0.5won-116892.1%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.5%
-115-9.8%10d
-110-7.8%10d
+10748.2%
Under 0.5won
-115-3.2%10d
-120-5.3%10d
-10751.8%
Over 1.5lost+28026.3%
Under 1.5won-28073.7%
Over 2.5lost+57214.9%
Under 2.5won-57285.1%

Jackson Chourio

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 15% implied at Caesars (+5 pts)Home 13% n 8
  • Total Bases 1.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 43% implied at BetMGM (+7 pts)Home 50% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+575-4.3%10d
+60514.2%
Under 0.5won-60585.8%
Over 1.5lost
+8000 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.0%
+130-6.9%10d
+129-7.3%10d
+127-8.1%10d
+14740.5%
Under 1.5won
-175-6.5%10d
-172-6.0%10d
-169-5.4%10d
-14759.5%
Over 2.5lost+30624.6%
Under 2.5won-30675.4%

Jake Bauers

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 11% n 18vs 15% implied at Caesars (-5 pts)Home 13% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 72% n 18vs 52% implied at Caesars (+18 pts)Home 75% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+575-7.9%10d
+63313.6%
Under 0.5won-63386.4%
Over 1.5lost
+8000 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.8%
-110-9.1%10d
-106-7.6%10d
+11047.6%
Under 0.5lost
-120-4.1%10d
-125-5.7%10d
-11052.4%
Over 1.5lost+27926.4%
Under 1.5won-27973.6%
Over 2.5lost+46617.7%
Under 2.5won-46682.3%

Joey Ortiz

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 6% n 16vs 7% implied at Caesars (-7 pts)Home 20% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 69% n 16vs 53% implied at Caesars (-3 pts)Home 40% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5void
+1300+4.7%?10d
+12377.5%
Under 0.5void-123892.5%
Over 1.5void-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5voidSynthetic hold 6.3%
-115-4.7%10d
-114-4.2%10d
-10450.9%
Under 0.5void
-115-8.3%10d
-120-10.2%10d
+10449.1%
Over 1.5void-

Kyle Tucker

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 14% implied at Caesars (-4 pts)Away 18% n 11 · After a loss 17% n 6
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 57% implied at BetMGM (+23 pts)Away 73% n 11 · After a loss 67% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+625-8.0%10d
+68812.7%
Under 0.5won-68887.3%
Over 1.5lost
+8000 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 7.0%
-135-8.3%10d
-137-8.9%10d
-11152.7%
Under 0.5lost
+100-5.4%10d
+100-5.4%10d
+11147.3%
Over 1.5won+21531.7%
Under 1.5lost-21568.3%
Over 2.5lost+39020.4%
Under 2.5won-39079.6%

Logan Henderson

  • Outs Recorded 15.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 5L20 0% n 5vs 44% implied at Caesars (-44 pts)
  • Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 5L20 40% n 5

Outs Recorded

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 15.5lostSynthetic hold 4.5%
+115-12.9%10d
+124-9.3%10d
+117-12.1%10d
+127-8.1%10d
+14740.5%
Under 15.5won
-154-1.8%10d
-172-6.0%10d
-156-2.4%10d
-185-8.4%10d
-14759.5%
Over 16.5lost-
Under 16.5won-
Over 17.5lost+32223.7%
Under 17.5won-32276.3%

Pitcher Strikeouts

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 4.5lost-16161.7%
Under 4.5won+16138.3%
Over 5.5lostSynthetic hold 3.4%
-105-9.4%10d
-104-8.9%10d
+106-4.3%10d
+11546.5%
Under 5.5won
-125-3.7%10d
-122-2.6%10d
-135-6.9%10d
-11553.5%
Over 6.5lost+23130.2%
Under 6.5won-23169.8%

Max Muncy

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 27% n 15vs 21% implied at Caesars (+9 pts)Away 17% n 6 · After a loss 0% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 53% n 15vs 53% implied at BetMGM (-3 pts)Away 50% n 6 · After a loss 0% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+370-8.3%10d
+41219.5%
Under 0.5won-41280.5%
Over 1.5lost
+3500 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.0%
-115-6.5%10d
-120-8.5%10d
-115-6.5%10d
+10050.0%
Under 0.5won
-115-6.5%10d
-112-5.5%10d
-115-6.5%10d
+10050.0%
Over 1.5lost+19733.6%
Under 1.5won-19766.4%
Over 2.5lost+29025.6%
Under 2.5won-29074.4%

Mookie Betts

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 11% n 19vs 15% implied at Caesars (-5 pts)Away 10% n 10 · After a loss 17% n 6
  • Total Bases 1.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 37% n 19vs 42% implied at DraftKings (-22 pts)Away 30% n 10 · After a loss 50% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+575-3.2%10d
+59714.3%
Under 0.5won-59785.7%
Over 1.5lost
+8000 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 4.3%
+125-8.2%10d
+136-3.7%10d
+131-5.8%10d
+14540.8%
Under 1.5won
-164-4.7%10d
-182-8.2%10d
-175-7.1%10d
-14559.2%
Over 2.5lost+31224.3%
Under 2.5won-31275.7%

Sal Frelick

  • Home Runs 0.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 13vs 6% implied at Caesars (-6 pts)Home 0% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 46% n 13vs 58% implied at BetMGM (-8 pts)Home 20% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+1500-5.2%10d
+15885.9%
Under 0.5won-158794.1%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.2%
-141-5.7%10d
-143-6.2%10d
-12355.2%
Under 0.5won
+105-8.1%10d
+108-6.7%10d
+12344.8%
Over 1.5lost+30224.9%
Under 1.5won-30275.1%
Over 2.5lost+68012.8%
Under 2.5won-68087.2%

Shohei Ohtani

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 20vs 25% implied at Caesars (-25 pts)Away 0% n 12 · After a loss 0% n 10
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 62% implied at BetMGM (-2 pts)Away 42% n 12 · After a loss 20% n 10

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+305-7.4%10d
+33722.9%
Under 0.5won-33777.1%
Over 1.5lost
+2300-12.7%10d
+26503.6%
Under 1.5won-265396.4%

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.3%
-161-3.2%10d
-169-5.0%10d
-14859.8%
Under 0.5won
+120-11.5%10d
+122-10.7%10d
+14840.2%
Over 1.5lost+16737.4%
Under 1.5won-16762.6%
Over 2.5lost+24628.9%
Under 2.5won-24671.1%

Teoscar Hernandez

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 17% implied at Caesars (+3 pts)Away 27% n 11 · After a loss 17% n 6
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 61% implied at BetMGM (-11 pts)Away 64% n 11 · After a loss 33% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+500-6.6%10d
+54215.6%
Under 0.5won-54284.4%
Over 1.5lost
+6000 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.1%
-154-7.2%10d
-156-7.8%10d
-12956.2%
Under 0.5won
+115-5.9%10d
+118-4.6%10d
+12943.8%
Over 1.5lost+18035.7%
Under 1.5won-18064.3%
Over 2.5lost-

Tommy Edman

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 11% n 19vs 11% implied at Caesars (-11 pts)Away 0% n 10 · After a loss 0% n 6
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 37% n 19vs 56% implied at BetMGM (-26 pts)Away 40% n 10 · After a loss 33% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+850-0.9%10d
+85910.4%
Under 0.5won-85989.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.4%
-125-6.6%10d
-125-6.6%10d
-10851.9%
Under 0.5lost
-105-6.2%10d
-105-6.2%10d
+10848.1%
Over 1.5lost+25628.1%
Under 1.5won-25671.9%

Will Smith

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 19% n 16vs 16% implied at Caesars (-16 pts)Away 0% n 8 · After a loss 20% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 56% n 16vs 61% implied at BetMGM (-11 pts)Away 50% n 8 · After a loss 80% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+525-12.5%10d
+61514.0%
Under 0.5won-61586.0%
Over 1.5lost
+7000 10dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.6%
-154-5.4%10d
-154-5.4%10d
-13457.3%
Under 0.5won
+115-8.3%10d
+115-8.3%10d
+13442.7%
Over 1.5lost+17336.6%
Under 1.5won-17363.4%
Over 2.5lost+34722.4%
Under 2.5won-34777.6%

William Contreras

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 24% n 17vs 12% implied at Caesars (+18 pts)Home 33% n 6
  • Total Bases 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 41% n 17vs 40% implied at DraftKings (-0 pts)Home 33% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+750-3.9%10d
+78511.3%
Under 0.5lost-78488.7%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Under 0.5lost-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 4.9%
+135-11.9%10d
+149-6.7%10d
+140-10.1%10d
+16737.5%
Under 1.5lost
-185-3.7%10d
-200-6.2%10d
-189-4.3%10d
-16762.5%
Over 2.5won-

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

  • Outs Recorded 17.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 5L20 80% n 5vs 63% implied at Fanatics (+17 pts)
  • Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 5L20 60% n 5

Outs Recorded

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 17.5lostSynthetic hold 2.7%
-175+1.6%?10d
-196-2.2%10d
-204-3.5%10d
-196-2.2%10d
-169+2.9%?10d
-18464.7%
Under 17.5won
+125-20.7%10d
+140-15.4%10d
+151-11.5%10d
+145-13.6%10d
+120-22.4%10d
+18435.3%
Over 18.5lostSynthetic hold 4.5%
+125-14.4%10d
+125-14.4%10d
+124-14.8%10d
+135-10.6%10d
+16338.0%
Under 18.5won
-175-2.7%10d
-167-0.9%10d
-164-0.2%10d
-196-6.4%10d
-16362.0%

Pitcher Strikeouts

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 5.5lost-23570.1%
Under 5.5won+23529.9%
Over 6.5lostSynthetic hold 4.4%
-145-7.5%10d
-147-8.1%10d
-154-9.7%10d
-145-7.5%10d
-12154.7%
Under 6.5won
+105-7.2%10d
+114-3.1%10d
+120-0.4%10d
+110-4.9%10d
+12145.3%
Over 7.5lost+14540.8%
Under 7.5won-14559.2%
Over 8.5lost+28026.3%
Under 8.5won-28073.7%

Line movement

Milwaukee Brewers to win · since 8:34 PM · lineups 10:39 AM

betmgm-5000
fanduel-10000
draftkings-10000
williamhill_us-5000
fanatics-2500

Over 6.5 · since 9:14 PM · lineups 10:39 AM

betmgm-141
fanduel-130
draftkings-127
williamhill_us-120
fanatics-125