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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

KickoffOct 10, 5:01 PMPhoenix
StatusFinal
LeagueMLB
Score0 - 2Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians B4
RestRest: Cleveland Guardians 0D · Chicago White Sox 0Dtracked competitions only
Betfair Exchange-10000 / -244
Novig- / +99900
ProphetX-10000 / +6750

Lineups posted at Oct 10, 1:09 PM Phoenix.

18°C · Rain 4% · Wind 9 km/h
Chicago White Sox · XISam Antonacci, Kyle Teel, Miguel Vargas, Munetaka Murakami, Andrew Benintendi, Tristan Peters, Chase Meidroth, Colson Montgomery, Brenton Doyle
Cleveland Guardians · XISteven Kwan, José Ramírez, Chase DeLauter, Jo Adell, Nathaniel Lowe, Travis Bazzana, Patrick Bailey, Petey Halpin, Brayan Rocchio
Luis Castillo out · ShoulderPrelander Berroa out · ElbowKy Bush out · ElbowJordan Leasure out · ForearmJoey Bart out · HandMike Vasil out · ElbowTanner Murray out · ShoulderBrooks Baldwin out · ElbowColin Holderman out · WristRhys Hoskins out · Back

Closing lines captured Oct 10, 5:04 PM.

Moneyline

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Cleveland Guardianswon
-10000-11.4%11d
--
-10000-11.4%11d
--71487.7%
Chicago White Soxlost
+3300+317.5%?11d
--
+1300+71.9%?11d
-+71412.3%

Spread model fair on 25 of 47 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Cleveland Guardians -1wonSynthetic hold 6.0%
+103-11.4%11d
+12943.7%
Cleveland Guardians +1wonSynthetic hold 5.8%
-213-5.4%11d
-18064.3%
Chicago White Sox -1lost
+162-6.6%11d
+18035.7%
Chicago White Sox +1lost+1 at -133 (DraftKings) vs +1.5 at +1900 (Fanatics): take +1.5
-133-1.4%11d
-12956.3%
Cleveland Guardians -1.5wonSynthetic hold 2.9%
-10000-69.1%11d
-5000-68.8%11d
-10000-69.1%11d
-10000-69.1%11d
-10000-69.1%11d
+22730.6%
Cleveland Guardians +1.5won-----22268.9%
Chicago White Sox -1.5lost----+22231.1%
Chicago White Sox +1.5lost
+1650+1114.2%?11d
+1100+732.6%?11d
+1400+940.7%?11d
+1100+732.6%?11d
+1900+1287.7%?11d
-22769.4%
Cleveland Guardians -2pushSynthetic hold 6.3%-2 at +201 (DraftKings) vs -1.5 at -5000 (FanDuel): take -2
+201+30.3%?11d
+13143.3%
Cleveland Guardians +2wonSynthetic hold 6.2%+2 at -400 (DraftKings) vs +2.5 at -417 (Fanatics): take +2.5
-400-10.6%11d
-251m71.5%
Chicago White Sox -2lost
+276+7.1%?11d
+251m28.5%
Chicago White Sox +2push+2 at -278 (DraftKings) vs +2.5 at -323 (DraftKings): take +2
-278-22.9%11d
-13156.7%
Cleveland Guardians -2.5lostSynthetic hold 4.7%
+250-5.1%11d
+240-7.8%11d
+231-10.2%11d
+250-5.1%11d
+26927.1%
Cleveland Guardians +2.5wonSynthetic hold 4.8%
-455-4.3%11d
-435-3.5%11d
-455-4.3%11d
-417-2.7%11d
-36478.5%
Chicago White Sox -2.5lost
+300-13.8%11d
+300-13.8%11d
+309-11.9%11d
+310-11.6%11d
+36421.5%
Chicago White Sox +2.5won
-345-6.0%11d
-333-5.2%11d
-323-4.5%11d
-333-5.2%11d
-26972.9%
Cleveland Guardians -3lostSynthetic hold 6.1%-3 at +319 (DraftKings) vs -2.5 at +250 (BetMGM): take -2.5
+319-9.2%11d
+36121.7%
Cleveland Guardians +3wonSynthetic hold 6.2%+3 at -714 (DraftKings) vs +3.5 at -714 (FanDuel): take +3.5
-714-9.7%11d
-380m79.2%
Chicago White Sox -3lost-3 at +431 (DraftKings) vs -2.5 at +310 (Fanatics): take -3
+431+10.6%?11d
+380m20.8%
Chicago White Sox +3won+3 at -476 (DraftKings) vs +3.5 at -526 (FanDuel): take either
-476-5.2%11d
-36278.3%
Cleveland Guardians -3.5lostSynthetic hold 4.6%
+375-9.6%11d
+350-14.4%11d
+349-14.6%11d
+380-8.7%11d
+42619.0%
Cleveland Guardians +3.5wonSynthetic hold 5.2%
-769-4.3%11d
-714-3.5%11d
-769-4.3%11d
-714-3.5%11d
-55284.7%
Chicago White Sox -3.5lost
+450-15.7%11d
+450-15.7%11d
+462-13.9%11d
+460-14.2%11d
+55215.3%
Chicago White Sox +3.5won
-588-5.3%11d
-526-3.6%11d
-526-3.6%11d
-556-4.5%11d
-42681.0%
Cleveland Guardians -4lostSynthetic hold 6.1%-4 at +480 (DraftKings) vs -3.5 at +380 (Fanatics): take -3.5
+480+5.2%?11d
+451m18.1%
Cleveland Guardians +4wonSynthetic hold 5.8%+4 at -1250 (DraftKings) vs +4.5 at -1250 (FanDuel): take +4.5
-1250-7.8%11d
-585m85.4%
Chicago White Sox -4lost-4 at +640 (DraftKings) vs -3.5 at +462 (DraftKings): take -3.5
+640+8.0%?11d
+585m14.6%
Chicago White Sox +4won+4 at -833 (DraftKings) vs +4.5 at -833 (FanDuel): take +4.5
-833-8.3%11d
-451m81.9%
Cleveland Guardians -4.5lostSynthetic hold 4.5%
+500-10.2%11d
+509-8.9%11d
+550-2.7%11d
+56815.0%
Cleveland Guardians +4.5wonSynthetic hold 5.3%
-1250-6.9%11d
-1429-7.7%11d
-626m86.2%
Chicago White Sox -4.5lost
+630+0.5%?11d
+670+6.0%?11d
+626m13.8%
Chicago White Sox +4.5won
-833-4.8%11d
-909-5.6%11d
-909-5.6%11d
-56885.0%
Cleveland Guardians -5lostSynthetic hold 5.8%-5 at +690 (DraftKings) vs -4.5 at +550 (Fanatics): take -4.5
+690-1.3%11d
+700m12.5%
Chicago White Sox +5won+5 at -1429 (DraftKings) vs +5.5 at -1429 (FanDuel): take +5.5
-1429-6.4%11d
-700m87.5%
Cleveland Guardians -5.5lostSynthetic hold 4.4%
+700-5.1%11d
+800+6.7%?11d
+743m11.9%
Cleveland Guardians +5.5wonSynthetic hold 5.3%
-2000-4.8%11d
-966m90.6%
Chicago White Sox -5.5lost
+870-9.0%11d
+966m9.4%
Chicago White Sox +5.5won
-1429-5.7%11d
-1429-5.7%11d
-743m88.1%
Cleveland Guardians -6.5lostSynthetic hold 5.8%
+1000-12.7%11d
+1160m7.9%
Cleveland Guardians +6.5wonSynthetic hold 6.0%
-5000-4.2%11d
-1536m93.9%
Chicago White Sox -6.5lost
+1100-26.6%11d
+1535m6.1%
Chicago White Sox +6.5won
-3333-5.2%11d
-1160m92.1%
Cleveland Guardians -7.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
+1200-33.9%11d
+1866m5.1%
Chicago White Sox -7.5lost
+1400-42.8%11d
+2521m3.8%
Chicago White Sox +7.5won
-5000-3.2%11d
-1866m94.9%
Cleveland Guardians -8.5lost
+1500-50.1%11d
+3108m3.1%
Chicago White Sox -8.5lost
+1700-59.0%11d
+4293m2.3%

Total Runs model fair on 22 of 52 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 4.4%
-10000-29.0%11d
-237m70.3%
Under 1.5lost
+1700+434.9%?11d
+1500+375.4%?11d
+237m29.7%
Over 2pushSynthetic hold 4.5%
-10000-32.0%11d
-206m67.3%
Under 2push
+1650+472.4%?11d
+206m32.7%
Over 2.5lostArb -91.5%
+1650+836.6%?11d
+1280+638.5%?11d
+1400+702.8%?11d
+700+328.1%?11d
-154-11.7%11d
-11553.5%
Under 2.5won
-10000-53.1%11d
-10000-53.1%11d
-10000-53.1%11d
-1667-50.7%11d
+115-0.1%11d
+11546.5%
Over 3lostSynthetic hold 3.7%
-3333-41.4%11d
-1667-39.7%11d
-132m56.9%
Under 3won
+950+352.6%?11d
+900+331.1%?11d
+132m43.1%
Over 3.5lostSynthetic hold 4.2%
-909-43.1%11d
-714-41.5%11d
-714-41.5%11d
-714-41.5%11d
-10551.3%
Under 3.5won
+500+192.2%?11d
+450+167.8%?11d
+444+164.9%?11d
+460+172.7%?11d
+10548.7%
Over 4lostSynthetic hold 4.2%
-833-48.5%11d
-667-47.2%11d
-667-47.2%11d
+118m45.9%
Under 4won
+475+210.8%?11d
+415+178.4%?11d
+430+186.5%?11d
-118m54.1%
Over 4.5lostSynthetic hold 3.3%
-125+0.4%11d
-145-5.7%11d
-133-2.4%11d
-141-4.6%11d
-130-1.2%11d
-12655.8%
Under 4.5won
-102-12.5%11d
+108-8.0%11d
+103-10.3%11d
+109-7.6%11d
+100-11.6%11d
+12644.2%
Over 5lostSynthetic hold 3.1%
-417-42.5%11d
-370-41.1%11d
-345-40.2%11d
+11646.4%
Under 5won
+290+109.1%?11d
+258+92.0%?11d
+260+93.1%?11d
-11653.6%
Over 5.5lostSynthetic hold 3.9%
-250-44.7%11d
-227-43.1%11d
-227-43.1%11d
-222-42.7%11d
+15339.5%
Under 5.5won
+185+72.4%?11d
+172+64.6%?11d
+170+63.3%?11d
+175+66.4%?11d
-15360.5%
Over 6lostSynthetic hold 3.0%
-222-6.5%11d
-200-3.3%11d
-189-1.4%11d
-18164.5%
Under 6won
+165-5.8%11d
+150-11.1%11d
+155-9.4%11d
+18135.5%
Over 6.5lostSynthetic hold 5.5%
-125-4.9%11d
-128-5.9%11d
-128-5.9%11d
-125-4.9%11d
-11252.8%
Under 6.5won
-102-6.6%11d
-104-7.6%11d
-101-6.2%11d
-105-8.0%11d
+11247.2%
Over 7lostSynthetic hold 1.1%
-125-4.0%11d
-120-2.4%11d
-110+1.9%11d
-120-2.4%11d
-11453.3%
Under 7won
+105-4.3%11d
+100-6.7%11d
-118-13.7%11d
+100-6.7%11d
+11446.7%
Over 7.5lostSynthetic hold 3.9%
+105-6.3%11d
+106-5.8%11d
+102-7.7%11d
+105-6.3%11d
+11945.7%
Under 7.5won
-141-7.2%11d
-135-5.5%11d
-133-5.0%11d
-125-2.3%11d
-11954.3%
Over 8lostSynthetic hold 3.3%
+130-3.8%11d
+121-7.6%11d
+125-5.9%11d
+13941.8%
Under 8won
-169-7.5%11d
-159-5.2%11d
-149-2.8%11d
-13958.2%
Over 8.5lostSynthetic hold 3.9%
+150-4.6%11d
+144-6.9%11d
+137-9.6%11d
+145-6.5%11d
+16238.1%
Under 8.5won
-200-7.2%11d
-185-4.7%11d
-179-3.5%11d
-179-3.5%11d
-16261.9%
Over 9lostSynthetic hold 3.2%
+200-0.7%11d
+182-6.7%11d
+185-5.7%11d
+20233.1%
Under 9won
-278-9.0%11d
-244-5.7%11d
-233-4.3%11d
-20266.9%
Over 9.5lostSynthetic hold 2.4%
+240-2.4%11d
+220-8.1%11d
+210-11.0%11d
+210-11.0%11d
+24828.7%
Under 9.5won
-323-6.6%11d
-294-4.5%11d
-286-3.8%11d
-270-2.3%11d
-24871.3%
Over 10lostSynthetic hold 3.1%
+290-82.8%11d
+255-84.3%11d
+260-84.1%11d
+2162m4.4%
Under 10won
-417+18.5%?11d
-357+22.3%?11d
-345+23.3%?11d
-2165m95.6%
Over 10.5lostSynthetic hold 3.0%
+310-7.3%11d
+285-13.0%11d
+273-15.7%11d
+280-14.1%11d
+34322.6%
Under 10.5won
-455-5.6%11d
-400-3.2%11d
-385-2.5%11d
-370-1.7%11d
-34277.4%
Over 11lostSynthetic hold 4.5%
+400-87.5%11d
+364-88.4%11d
+380-88.0%11d
+3895m2.5%
Under 11won
-667+12.1%?11d
-556+15.0%?11d
-556+15.0%?11d
-3891m97.5%
Over 11.5lostSynthetic hold 5.0%
+425-11.6%11d
+420-12.5%11d
+391-17.4%11d
+49416.8%
Under 11.5won
-714-5.2%11d
-667-4.4%11d
-625-3.5%11d
-49483.2%
Over 12lostSynthetic hold 5.9%
+550-91.3%11d
+7334m1.3%
Under 12won
-1000+8.5%?11d
-7353m98.7%
Over 12.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
+575-91.0%11d
+560-91.2%11d
+7419m1.3%
Under 12.5won
-1111+7.6%?11d
-1000+8.5%?11d
-7407m98.7%
Over 13.5lostSynthetic hold 5.2%
+800-93.9%11d
+14593m0.7%
Under 13.5won
-1667+5.3%?11d
-14493m99.3%
Over 14.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
+1060-96.2%11d
+30292m0.3%
Under 14.5won
-3333+2.7%?11d
-30303m99.7%
Over 15.5lost
+1400-97.7%11d
+66481m0.2%
Over 16.5lost
+1500-99.0%11d
+154470m0.1%

Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.

Player props 44 of 44 priced against a sharp source

Andrew Benintendi

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 7% n 14vs 11% implied at Caesars (-1 pts)Away 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 29% n 14vs 47% implied at BetMGM (-17 pts)Away 38% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+850-13.8%11d
+10019.1%
Under 0.5won-100190.9%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.7%
+115-5.2%11d
+111-7.0%11d
+12744.1%
Under 0.5won
-154-7.7%11d
-147-6.1%11d
-12755.9%
Over 1.5lost+33922.8%
Under 1.5won-33977.2%

Angel Martinez

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 13% n 16vs 11% implied at Caesars (-11 pts)Home 20% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 31% n 16vs 58% implied at Caesars (-48 pts)Home 20% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5void
+850-5.5%12d
+9069.9%
Under 0.5void-90690.1%
Over 1.5void-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5voidSynthetic hold 5.9%
-145-4.5%12d
-139-2.8%12d
-13056.5%
Under 0.5void
+105-10.9%12d
+108-9.6%12d
+13043.5%
Over 1.5void-

Braden Montgomery

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 18vs 7% implied at Caesars (-7 pts)Away 0% n 9 · vs Guardians 0% n 6
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 50% n 18vs 55% implied at BetMGM (-5 pts)Away 56% n 9 · vs Guardians 17% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5void
+1300-3.3%12d
+13486.9%
Under 0.5void-134893.1%
Over 1.5void-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5voidSynthetic hold 6.5%
-120-6.4%12d
-120-6.4%12d
-10551.1%
Under 0.5void
-110-6.7%12d
-110-6.7%12d
+10548.9%
Over 1.5void-

Brayan Rocchio

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 6% n 18vs 10% implied at Caesars (+0 pts)Home 0% n 8 · vs Sox 0% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 50% n 18vs 56% implied at Fanatics (-26 pts)Home 38% n 8 · vs Sox 29% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+950-14.2%11d
+11248.2%
Under 0.5won-112491.8%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.0%
-141-6.9%11d
-135-5.3%11d
-130-3.6%11d
-12054.5%
Under 0.5won
+105-6.6%11d
+102-8.0%11d
+100-8.9%11d
+12045.5%
Over 1.5lost+26527.4%
Under 1.5won-26572.6%

Brenton Doyle

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 17% n 18vs 12% implied at Caesars (+8 pts)Away 10% n 10 · vs Guardians 0% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 61% n 18vs 50% implied at Caesars (-10 pts)Away 40% n 10 · vs Guardians 43% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+750-22.5%11d
+9969.1%
Under 0.5won-99690.9%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.3%
-105-8.3%11d
+100-5.9%11d
+11347.0%
Under 0.5won
-125-4.7%11d
-132-6.8%11d
-11353.0%
Over 1.5lost+28326.1%
Under 1.5won-28373.9%

Chase DeLauter

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 18% n 17vs 14% implied at Caesars (+6 pts)Home 14% n 7 · vs Sox 0% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 82% n 17vs 67% implied at BetMGM (+23 pts)Home 86% n 7 · vs Sox 80% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+625-7.9%11d
+68712.7%
Under 0.5won-68787.3%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.3%
-200 12dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5lost
+150 12dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 4.7%
+145-6.3%11d
+136-9.7%11d
+134-10.5%11d
+16138.2%
Under 1.5won
-200-7.4%11d
-182-4.3%11d
-179-3.7%11d
-16161.8%

Chase Meidroth

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 17% n 18vs 8% implied at Caesars (+2 pts)Away 18% n 11 · vs Guardians 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 78% n 18vs 61% implied at Caesars (+19 pts)Away 82% n 11 · vs Guardians 75% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+1100-15.4%11d
+13187.1%
Under 0.5won-131892.9%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.0%
-161-10.2%11d
-156-9.1%11d
-12455.4%
Under 0.5won
+120-1.9%11d
+118-2.8%11d
+12444.6%
Over 1.5lost+23230.1%
Under 1.5won-23269.9%

Colson Montgomery

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 5% n 19vs 16% implied at Caesars (-6 pts)Away 9% n 11 · vs Guardians 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 26% n 19vs 43% implied at BetMGM (-13 pts)Away 18% n 11 · vs Guardians 25% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+525-9.9%11d
+59414.4%
Under 0.5won-59385.6%
Over 1.5lost
+7000 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.3%
+130-5.6%11d
+122-8.9%11d
+14441.0%
Under 0.5won
-175-7.4%11d
-164-5.1%11d
-14459.0%
Over 1.5lost+30124.9%
Under 1.5won-30175.1%

Gavin Williams

  • Outs Recorded 12.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 5L20 60% n 5
  • Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 5L20 60% n 5

Outs Recorded

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Under 11.5lost-
Over 12.5won-13156.6%
Under 12.5lost+13143.4%
Over 13.5wonSynthetic hold 4.4%
-135-8.8%11d
-120-4.0%12d
-135-8.8%11d
-11052.4%
Under 13.5lost
+100-4.9%11d
-112-10.1%12d
-105-7.2%11d
+11047.6%
Over 14.5wonSynthetic hold 2.3%
-105-0.3%11d
-127-8.5%11d
-120-6.4%11d
-105-0.3%11d
-10551.1%
Under 14.5lost
-135-15.0%11d
-104-4.2%11d
-112-7.6%11d
-135-15.0%11d
+10548.9%

Pitcher Strikeouts

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 4.5won-36778.6%
Under 4.5lost+36721.4%
Over 5.5won-21267.9%
Under 5.5lost+21232.1%
Over 6.5wonSynthetic hold 3.3%
-125-4.1%11d
-130-5.7%11d
-141-8.9%11d
-11453.3%
Under 6.5lost
-105-8.9%11d
+102-5.6%11d
+109-2.4%11d
+11446.7%
Over 7.5won+16338.1%
Under 7.5lost-16361.9%
Over 8.5won+28925.7%
Under 8.5lost-28974.3%

Jo Adell

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 10% n 20vs 17% implied at Caesars (-7 pts)Home 11% n 9 · vs Sox 14% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 62% implied at BetMGM (+8 pts)Home 78% n 9 · vs Sox 86% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+475-15.5%11d
+58114.7%
Under 0.5won-58185.3%
Over 1.5lost
+5500 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
-164-6.2%11d
-164-6.2%11d
-14058.3%
Under 0.5lost
+125-6.1%11d
+123-6.9%11d
+14041.7%
Over 1.5lost+17836.0%
Under 1.5won-17864.0%

Jose Ramirez

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 16% n 19vs 15% implied at Caesars (+5 pts)Home 22% n 9 · vs Sox 29% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 68% n 19vs 65% implied at BetMGM (-5 pts)Home 67% n 9 · vs Sox 57% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+575-11.1%11d
+65913.2%
Under 0.5lost-65986.8%
Over 1.5lost
+8000 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.6%
-189 12dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 0.5lost
+140 12dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 4.9%
+140-3.9%11d
+146-1.5%11d
+136-5.5%11d
+15040.0%
Under 1.5lost
-189-8.3%11d
-196-9.5%11d
-182-7.1%11d
-15060.0%

Kyle Teel

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 6% n 18vs 12% implied at Caesars (-2 pts)Away 9% n 11 · vs Guardians 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 61% n 18vs 55% implied at BetMGM (+25 pts)Away 64% n 11 · vs Guardians 50% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+750-3.3%11d
+77911.4%
Under 0.5won-77988.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.1%
-120-6.1%11d
-123-7.1%11d
-10551.3%
Under 0.5lost
-110-7.0%11d
-108-6.0%11d
+10548.7%
Over 1.5lost+23529.8%
Under 1.5won-23570.2%

Miguel Vargas

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 21% n 19vs 16% implied at Caesars (-6 pts)Away 9% n 11 · vs Guardians 25% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 68% n 19vs 60% implied at Caesars (-10 pts)Away 73% n 11 · vs Guardians 88% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+525-12.0%11d
+61014.1%
Under 0.5won-61185.9%
Over 1.5lost
+7000 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.7%
-154-7.8%11d
-147-6.2%11d
-12755.9%
Under 0.5won
+115-5.1%11d
+111-6.8%11d
+12744.1%
Over 1.5lost+19633.8%
Under 1.5won-19666.2%

Munetaka Murakami

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 20% implied at Caesars (-0 pts)Away 18% n 11 · vs Guardians 13% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 52% implied at BetMGM (+8 pts)Away 55% n 11 · vs Guardians 38% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+390-7.9%11d
+43218.8%
Under 0.5won-43281.2%
Over 1.5lost
+4000 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.0%
-110-5.8%11d
-114-7.3%11d
+10349.3%
Under 0.5won
-120-7.2%11d
-118-6.2%11d
-10350.7%
Over 1.5lost+24728.9%
Under 1.5won-24771.1%

Nathaniel Lowe

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 18vs 12% implied at Caesars (-12 pts)Home 0% n 8 · vs Sox 0% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 50% n 18vs 58% implied at Caesars (+2 pts)Home 50% n 8 · vs Sox 43% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+750-2.9%11d
+77611.4%
Under 0.5won-77688.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.8%
-149-6.1%11d
-141-3.8%11d
-12956.2%
Under 0.5won
+110-8.1%11d
+107-9.4%11d
+12943.8%
Over 1.5lost+24029.4%
Under 1.5won-24070.6%

Patrick Bailey

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 18% n 17vs 11% implied at Caesars (+9 pts)Home 0% n 7 · vs Sox 17% n 6
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 41% n 17vs 55% implied at Caesars (-15 pts)Home 29% n 7 · vs Sox 50% n 6

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+850-9.4%11d
+9489.5%
Under 0.5won-94890.5%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.1%
-125-9.8%11d
-123-9.3%11d
-10050.1%
Under 0.5won
-105-2.7%11d
-108-3.7%11d
+10049.9%
Over 1.5lost+23829.6%
Under 1.5won-23870.4%

Petey Halpin

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 6% n 18vs 11% implied at Caesars (-11 pts)Home 14% n 7 · vs Sox 20% n 5
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 39% n 18vs 55% implied at Caesars (-25 pts)Home 43% n 7 · vs Sox 40% n 5

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+850-16.2%11d
+10348.8%
Under 0.5won-103491.2%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.6%
-125-7.3%11d
-120-5.8%11d
-10651.5%
Under 0.5lost
-105-5.4%11d
-110-7.3%11d
+10648.5%
Over 1.5won+30624.7%
Under 1.5lost-30675.3%

Sam Antonacci

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 18vs 8% implied at Caesars (-8 pts)Away 0% n 10 · vs Guardians 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 72% n 18vs 65% implied at BetMGM (+15 pts)Away 70% n 10 · vs Guardians 63% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+1100-7.6%11d
+11987.7%
Under 0.5won-119992.3%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
-185-6.1%11d
-196-7.9%11d
-15661.0%
Under 0.5lost
+135-8.3%11d
+140-6.4%11d
+15639.0%
Over 1.5lost+17935.9%
Under 1.5won-17964.1%

Sean Burke

  • Outs Recorded 11.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 100% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 10vs 58% implied at BetMGM (+22 pts)Away 100% n 5
  • Pitcher Strikeouts 2.5Watch · Sat out 2 of the last 3L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 10Away 100% n 5

Outs Recorded

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 11.5wonSynthetic hold 7.8%
-141-7.2%11d
-11954.2%
Under 11.5lost
+100-8.5%11d
+11945.8%
Over 12.5wonSynthetic hold 2.4%
-110-14.0%12d
+113-4.1%11d
+107-6.8%11d
-108-13.1%12d
+12245.0%
Under 12.5lost
-125-1.0%12d
-152-8.7%11d
-141-6.0%11d
-135-4.3%12d
-12255.0%
Over 13.5won+13442.7%
Under 13.5lost-13457.3%
Over 14.5won+17736.1%
Under 14.5lost-17763.9%

Pitcher Strikeouts

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 2.5won-22369.1%
Under 2.5lost+22330.9%
Over 3.5wonSynthetic hold 2.9%
-149-11.0%11d
-143-9.4%11d
-127-4.6%11d
-141-8.9%11d
-11453.3%
Under 3.5lost
+110-1.9%11d
+112-1.0%11d
-101-7.0%11d
+105-4.2%11d
+11446.7%
Over 4.5lost+17236.8%
Under 4.5won-17263.2%
Over 5.5lost+32623.5%
Under 5.5won-32676.5%

Steven Kwan

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 19vs 5% implied at Caesars (-5 pts)Home 0% n 9 · vs Sox 0% n 7
  • Total Bases 1.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 32% n 19vs 39% implied at DraftKings (-9 pts)Home 33% n 9 · vs Sox 0% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+2000-6.9%11d
+21564.4%
Under 0.5won-215595.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
+145-7.6%11d
+155-3.8%11d
+149-6.1%11d
+16537.7%
Under 1.5won
-200-6.6%11d
-208-7.8%11d
-200-6.6%11d
-16562.3%

Travis Bazzana

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 10% n 20vs 11% implied at Caesars (-11 pts)Home 22% n 9 · vs Sox 14% n 7
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 59% implied at Caesars (-19 pts)Home 33% n 9 · vs Sox 43% n 7

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+850-17.6%11d
+10538.7%
Under 0.5won-105491.3%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%
-154-8.4%11d
-145-6.2%11d
-12555.5%
Under 0.5won
+115-4.4%11d
+109-7.0%11d
+12544.5%
Over 1.5lost+24828.7%
Under 1.5won-24971.3%

Tristan Peters

  • Home Runs 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 0% n 19vs 11% implied at Caesars (-11 pts)Away 0% n 11 · vs Guardians 0% n 8
  • Total Bases 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 42% n 19vs 55% implied at Caesars (+15 pts)Away 45% n 11 · vs Guardians 50% n 8

Home Runs

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+850-0.5%11d
+85510.5%
Under 0.5won-85589.5%
Over 1.5lost-

Total Bases

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.1%
-125-4.0%11d
-123-3.4%11d
-11453.4%
Under 0.5lost
-105-9.1%11d
-108-10.0%11d
+11446.6%
Over 1.5lost+25328.4%
Under 1.5won-25371.6%

Line movement

Cleveland Guardians to win · since 9:24 PM · lineups 1:09 PM

betmgm-10000
fanduel-1429
draftkings-1250
williamhill_us-10000
fanatics-1000

Over 2.5 · since 11:04 AM · lineups 1:09 PM

betmgm+1650
fanduel+1280
draftkings+1400
williamhill_us+700
fanatics-154