Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders
KickoffOct 10, 4:39 PMPhoenix
StatusFinal
LeagueNHL
Score5 - 3Tampa Bay Lightning P1 05:45 · P1 15:42 · P2 07:54 PP · P3 18:16 · P3 18:37New York Islanders P2 06:27 · P2 11:41 · P2 19:53 PP
RestRest: New York Islanders 2D · Tampa Bay Lightning 2Dtracked competitions only
Pinnacle+117 / -143
Novig+122 / -127
ProphetX+119 / -135
Emil Lilleberg out · UndisclosedYanni Gourde out · HipAlexander Romanov out · KneeMathew Barzal out · Knee
Closing lines captured Oct 10, 4:44 PM.
Moneyline
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanderslost | +115-4.9%11d | +108-8.0%11d | +114-5.3%11d | +113-5.8%11d | +105-9.3%11d | +12644.2% |
| Tampa Bay Lightningwon | -145-5.8%11d | -139-4.1%11d | -145-5.8%11d | -141-4.7%11d | -141-4.7%11d | -12655.8% |
Spread model fair on 2 of 10 rows
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders +1.5lostSynthetic hold 3.6% | -1111-8.3%11d | -1250-9.1%11d | -909-6.6%11d | -1111-8.3%11d | -53084.1% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5won | +550+3.2%11d | +630+15.9%?11d | +575+7.2%?11d | +575+7.2%?11d | +53015.9% | |
| New York Islanders +2push | -10551.3% | |||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning -2push | +10548.7% | |||||
| New York Islanders +2.5wonArb -12.0% | -149-32.1%11d | +140-2.5%11d | +14640.6% | |||
| Tampa Bay Lightning -2.5lost | +110+24.7%?11d | -189-9.2%11d | -14659.4% | |||
| New York Islanders +3won | -11653.7% | |||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning -3lost | +11646.3% | |||||
| New York Islanders +3.5wonSynthetic hold 4.8% | -200+14.4%?11d | -208+12.9%?11d | -196+15.1%?11d | -321m76.3% | ||
| Tampa Bay Lightning -3.5lost | +150-40.6%11d | +158-38.7%11d | +150-40.6%11d | +321m23.7% |
Total Goals model fair on 2 of 8 rows
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5wonSynthetic hold 4.0% | -154-7.0%11d | -147-5.3%11d | -161-8.6%11d | -149-5.8%11d | -161-8.6%11d | -12956.4% |
| Under 5.5lost | +115-6.2%11d | +112-7.5%11d | +124-2.3%11d | +119-4.5%11d | +120-4.1%11d | +12943.6% |
| Over 6wonSynthetic hold 3.7% | -102-7.4%13d | +101-6.0%13d | +11446.8% | |||
| Under 6lost | -118-1.5%13d | -123-3.7%13d | -11453.2% | |||
| Over 6.5wonSynthetic hold 7.0% | +110-22.2%11d | +170m37.0% | ||||
| Under 6.5lost | -149+5.2%?11d | -170m63.0% | ||||
| Over 7.5wonSynthetic hold 3.6% | +185-3.6%11d | +205+3.2%?11d | +210+4.9%?11d | +205+3.2%?11d | +200+1.5%?11d | +19633.8% |
| Under 7.5lost | -250-7.4%11d | -278-10.0%11d | -278-10.0%11d | -278-10.0%11d | -286-10.7%11d | -19666.2% |
Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.
Player props 27 of 28 priced against a sharp source
Anthony Cirelli
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 25% n 20vs 43% implied at DraftKings (-3 pts)Away 22% n 9
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 75% n 20Away 67% n 9
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | +130-6.0%11d | +135-3.9%11d | +14540.9% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | -175-7.2%11d | -185-9.0%11d | -14559.1% |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 2.8% | -110-13.4%11d | +120-0.2%11d | +12145.4% | |||
| Under 1.5won | -135-4.9%11d | -161-11.5%11d | -12054.6% | |||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Bo Horvat
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 56% implied at DraftKings (+34 pts)Home 64% n 14
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 100% n 20Home 100% n 14
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | -130-6.6%11d | -11252.8% | ||||
| Under 0.5lost | -105-7.9%11d | +11247.2% |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 6.5% | -110+0.4%11d | -11152.6% | ||||
| Under 2.5lost | -120-13.2%11d | +11147.4% | ||||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Brandon Hagel
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 70% n 20vs 63% implied at DraftKings (+7 pts)Away 75% n 8
- Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 88% n 8
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 2.8% | -208-13.8%11d | -169-7.3%11d | -14058.3% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | +150+4.3%11d | +125-6.1%11d | +14041.7% | |||
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5won | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 7.9% | -164-4.4%11d | -14659.4% | ||||
| Under 2.5lost | +115-12.6%11d | +14640.6% | ||||
| Over 3.5wonSynthetic hold 6.8% | +125-10.2%11d | +15039.9% | ||||
| Under 3.5lost | -169-4.5%11d | -15060.1% | ||||
| Over 4.5won | - | |||||
| Over 5.5won | - |
Brayden Point
- Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 64% implied at BetMGM (-14 pts)Away 30% n 10
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 100% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.7% | -175-4.0%11d | -175-4.0%11d | -15761.2% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +130-10.6%11d | +130-10.6%11d | +15738.8% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 4.4% | +100-15.1%11d | +120-6.6%11d | +13642.4% | |||
| Under 2.5won | -145-2.7%11d | -164-7.3%11d | -13657.6% | |||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Brayden Schenn
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 41% implied at DraftKings (-11 pts)Home 36% n 14
- Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 53% implied at BetMGM (+7 pts)Home 57% n 14
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | +120-16.6%11d | +145-7.2%11d | +16437.9% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | -161+0.6%11d | -196-6.2%11d | -16462.1% |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5won | -115-12.7%11d | +11446.7% | ||||
| Under 1.5lost | -125-4.0%11d | -11453.3% |
Gage Goncalves
- Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 25% n 20vs 36% implied at BetMGM (-16 pts)Away 30% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | +175+2.2%11d | +155-5.3%11d | +16937.1% | |||
| Under 0.5won | -250-12.0%11d | -213-7.6%11d | -16962.9% |
Ilya Mikheyev
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 70% n 20Away 60% n 10
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 7.2% | -105-13.0%11d | +12444.6% | ||||
| Under 1.5won | -130-2.0%11d | -12455.4% | ||||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Jake Guentzel
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 62% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Away 40% n 10
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 80% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 2.5% | -200-12.5%11d | -161-5.5%11d | -14058.3% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | +145+2.1%11d | +120-8.3%11d | +14041.7% | |||
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 5.6% | -120-11.9%11d | -105-6.1%11d | +10848.2% | |||
| Under 2.5lost | -120-5.1%11d | -130-8.3%11d | -10851.8% | |||
| Over 3.5won | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
John Carlson
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 57% implied at BetMGM (-17 pts)Away 22% n 9
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 89% n 9
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.8% | -135-1.0%11d | -161-7.8%11d | -13256.9% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +100-13.8%11d | +115-7.3%11d | +13243.1% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 7.0% | -179-7.4%11d | -14659.3% | ||||
| Under 1.5won | +130-6.5%11d | +14640.7% | ||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 8.2% | +150 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Under 2.5won | -222 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Kyle Palmieri
- Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 48% implied at BetMGM (-18 pts)Home 33% n 9
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 78% n 9
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.8% | +110-2.4%11d | +100-7.0%11d | +11546.5% | |||
| Under 0.5won | -149-10.6%11d | -141-8.5%11d | -11553.5% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 11.4% | -227 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Under 1.5won | +130 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 3.6% | +115-19.9%12d | +140-10.6%11d | +16937.2% | |||
| Under 2.5won | -164+1.0%?12d | -196-5.2%11d | -16862.8% | |||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Matias Maccelli
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 40% implied at DraftKings (+10 pts)Home 50% n 8
- Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 49% implied at BetMGM (+1 pts)Home 50% n 8
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | +125-19.4%11d | +150-10.5%11d | +17935.8% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | -164+3.4%?11d | -204-4.3%11d | -17964.2% |
Shots On Goal no fair line · Synthetic hold 8.6% across your best prices
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5lost | +105 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Under 1.5won | -154 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - |
Matthew Schaefer
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 49% implied at BetMGM (+11 pts)Home 64% n 14
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 100% n 20Home 100% n 14
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.9% | +105-3.0%11d | +100-5.4%11d | +11147.3% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | -141-9.9%11d | -135-8.3%11d | -11152.7% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 5.0% | +105-0.5%11d | -105-5.4%11d | +10648.5% | |||
| Under 2.5lost | -154-15.0%11d | -130-8.9%11d | -10651.5% | |||
| Over 3.5won | - | |||||
| Over 4.5won | - |
Nikita Kucherov
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 65% n 20Away 67% n 9
- Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20Away 56% n 9
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 3.6% | +150-1.0%11d | +130-9.0%11d | +15339.6% | |||
| Under 1.5lost | -208-10.6%11d | -175-5.1%11d | -15360.4% | |||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 7.0% | -175-9.5%11d | -164-7.1%11d | -13657.7% | |||
| Under 2.5won | +120-6.9%11d | +120-6.9%11d | +13642.3% | |||
| Over 3.5lostSynthetic hold 6.8% | +125-9.4%11d | +14840.3% | ||||
| Under 3.5won | -169-5.0%11d | -14859.7% | ||||
| Over 4.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 5.5lost | - |
Tony DeAngelo
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 30% implied at DraftKings (-20 pts)Home 15% n 13
- Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 52% implied at BetMGM (-12 pts)Home 46% n 13
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | +180-21.7%11d | +230-7.7%11d | +25828.0% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | -250+0.8%11d | -323-5.6%11d | -25872.0% |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5won | -110-8.7%11d | +10947.8% | ||||
| Under 1.5lost | -135-9.2%11d | -10952.2% |
Victor Eklund
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 30% n 10vs 34% implied at BetMGM (-4 pts)Home 50% n 6
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 60% n 10Home 67% n 6
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | +195+6.9%11d | +150-9.4%11d | +17636.2% | |||
| Under 0.5won | -286-13.9%11d | -204-5.0%11d | -17663.8% |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 7.9% | +115-3.1%11d | +12245.0% | ||||
| Under 1.5won | -164-11.5%11d | -12255.0% | ||||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Line movement
New York Islanders to win · since 10:14 AM
betmgm+115
fanduel+108
draftkings+114
williamhill_us+113
fanatics+105
Over 5.5 · since 10:14 AM
betmgm-154
fanduel-147
draftkings-161
williamhill_us-149
fanatics-161