Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins
KickoffOct 10, 4:08 PMPhoenix
StatusFinal
LeagueNHL
Score1 - 2Dallas Stars P3 19:30Pittsburgh Penguins P3 01:57
RestRest: Pittsburgh Penguins 1D · Dallas Stars 2Dtracked competitions only
Novig-10000 / +6567
ProphetX-385 / +156
Joel Kiviranta out · Lower BodyMatt Duchene out · Lower BodyHarrison Scott out · UndisclosedLuke Krys out · UndisclosedCameron Hughes out · Upper BodyAndrei Kuzmenko out · PersonalJustin Brazeau out · Lower BodyRyan Graves out · Knee
Closing lines captured Oct 10, 4:14 PM.
Moneyline
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguinswon | -105+15.6%?11d | -714-32.4%11d | -125+6.7%?11d | -115+10.8%?11d | -303-21.2%11d | -14659.3% |
| Dallas Starslost | -118-24.7%11d | +450+124.0%?11d | -105-20.6%11d | -109-21.8%11d | +215+28.3%?11d | +14640.7% |
Spread model fair on 3 of 5 rows
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5lostArb -0.8% | +185+21.6%?11d | +136+0.7%?11d | +145+4.5%?11d | +145+4.5%?11d | +134m42.7% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5won | - | - | - | - | -29074.3% | |
| Dallas Stars -1.5lost | - | - | - | - | +29025.7% | |
| Dallas Stars +1.5won | -250-19.7%11d | -179-10.6%11d | -189-12.3%11d | -196-13.4%11d | -134m57.3% | |
| Dallas Stars -2.5lost | +471m17.5% |
Total Goals model fair on 5 of 15 rows
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 5.2% | -172+10.9%?11d | -235m70.2% | ||||
| Under 1.5lost | +137-29.3%11d | +235m29.8% | ||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 5.1% | -294-31.4%11d | -333-33.5%11d | -10551.2% | |||
| Under 2.5lost | +220+56.2%?11d | +225+58.7%?11d | +10548.8% | |||
| Over 3.5lostSynthetic hold 1.2% | +165+14.4%?11d | +215+36.0%?11d | +180+20.9%?11d | +210+33.8%?11d | +170+16.6%?11d | +13243.2% |
| Under 3.5won | -227-18.2%11d | -294-23.8%11d | -238-19.3%11d | -278-22.7%11d | -233-18.7%11d | -13256.8% |
| Over 4.5lostSynthetic hold 3.3% | -110-0.0%11d | -125-5.8%11d | -125-5.8%11d | -120-4.2%11d | -125-5.8%11d | -11052.3% |
| Under 4.5won | -118-11.8%11d | -104-6.6%11d | -105-7.1%11d | -105-7.1%11d | -105-7.1%11d | +11047.7% |
| Over 5.5lostSynthetic hold 5.3% | -141-87.9%11d | -147-88.1%11d | +1314m7.1% | |||
| Under 5.5won | +105+90.5%?11d | +112+97.0%?11d | -1314m92.9% | |||
| Over 6lostSynthetic hold 4.2% | -125-1.8%12d | -125-1.8%12d | -12054.6% | |||
| Under 6won | +105-6.9%12d | +102-8.2%12d | +12045.4% | |||
| Over 6.5lostSynthetic hold 2.2% | +100-4.0%11d | +100-4.0%11d | -105-6.4%11d | -103-5.4%11d | +110+0.8%11d | +10848.0% |
| Under 6.5won | -120-4.8%11d | -122-5.4%11d | -125-6.4%11d | -122-5.4%11d | -145-12.1%11d | -10852.0% |
| Over 8.5lost | +67141m0.1% |
Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.
Player props 29 of 30 priced against a sharp source
Ben Kindel
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 90% n 20Home 75% n 8 · After a loss 83% n 12
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.6% | -154-3.4%11d | -14158.6% | ||||
| Under 1.5lost | +115-10.9%11d | +14141.4% | ||||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Bryan Rust
- Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 51% implied at DraftKings (-11 pts)Home 29% n 7 · After a loss 58% n 12
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 86% n 7 · After a loss 83% n 12
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.8% | -120-11.1%11d | -105-5.3%11d | +10648.6% | |||
| Under 0.5won | -111-2.3%11d | -130-9.0%11d | -10651.4% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.7% | -175-0.5%11d | -17363.4% | ||||
| Under 1.5won | +130-15.8%11d | +17336.6% | ||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 3.3% | +115-14.3%11d | +142-3.5%11d | +15139.9% | |||
| Under 2.5won | -164-3.2%11d | -189-8.0%11d | -15160.1% | |||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Erik Karlsson
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 53% implied at DraftKings (+27 pts)Home 50% n 8 · After a loss 73% n 11
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 88% n 8 · After a loss 91% n 11
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 1.1% | -149-16.2%11d | -115-6.2%11d | -10150.2% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +110+4.7%11d | -120-8.8%11d | +10149.8% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.7% | -175-6.9%11d | -14659.3% | ||||
| Under 1.5lost | +130-6.3%11d | +14640.7% | ||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 2.6% | +105-23.4%11d | +138-11.1%11d | +16837.4% | |||
| Under 2.5won | -154+3.3%?11d | -182-2.9%11d | -16862.6% | |||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Evgeni Malkin
- Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 60% implied at DraftKings (-10 pts)Home 50% n 8 · After a loss 55% n 11
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 90% n 20Home 88% n 8 · After a loss 91% n 11
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.1% | -161-10.5%11d | -149-7.7%11d | -12455.3% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +120-1.6%11d | +110-6.1%11d | +12444.7% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.7% | -208-12.0%11d | -175-6.7%11d | -14759.4% | |||
| Under 1.5lost | +130-6.7%11d | +130-6.7%11d | +14740.6% | |||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 6.0% | +146-9.4%11d | +17236.8% | ||||
| Under 2.5won | -192-4.0%11d | -17263.2% | ||||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Jason Robertson
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 76% implied at BetMGM (-16 pts)Away 60% n 10
- Shots On Goal 1.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 80% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2% | -323 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Under 0.5lost | +230 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 7.0% | +145-9.8%11d | +17236.8% | ||||
| Under 1.5won | -200-5.2%11d | -17263.2% | ||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5won | - | |||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 10.3% | -250-17.6%11d | -14358.8% | ||||
| Under 2.5lost | +150+2.9%?11d | +14341.2% | ||||
| Over 3.5lostSynthetic hold 4.0% | +114-7.2%11d | +100-13.3%11d | +13143.4% | |||
| Under 3.5won | -147-4.8%11d | -135-1.4%11d | -13156.6% | |||
| Over 4.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 5.5lost | - |
Kris Letang
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 30% n 20Home 25% n 8 · After a loss 27% n 11
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 100% n 8 · After a loss 100% n 11
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | +23529.9% | |||||
| Under 0.5won | -23570.1% |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lost | +13941.9% | |||||
| Under 1.5won | -13958.1% | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Mikko Rantanen
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 70% n 20vs 71% implied at DraftKings (-1 pts)Away 80% n 10
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 90% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.2% | -250-8.7%11d | -244-8.1%11d | -18765.2% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +180-2.5%11d | +180-2.5%11d | +18734.8% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | +23529.8% | |||||
| Under 1.5won | -23570.2% | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 11.4% | -227 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Under 1.5lost | +130 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 5.3% | +128-6.2%11d | +120-9.5%11d | +14341.1% | |||
| Under 2.5lost | -167-5.8%11d | -161-4.6%11d | -14358.9% | |||
| Over 3.5won | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Miro Heiskanen
- Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 70% n 20vs 61% implied at BetMGM (-1 pts)Away 67% n 9
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 78% n 9
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.6% | -154-7.7%11d | -161-9.4%11d | -12755.9% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | +115-5.2%11d | +115-5.2%11d | +12744.1% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 5.0% | -200-14.4%11d | -161-7.6%11d | -169-9.3%11d | -13357.0% | ||
| Under 1.5won | +130-1.2%11d | +122-4.6%11d | +125-3.3%11d | +13343.0% | ||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Rickard Rakell
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 52% implied at DraftKings (-22 pts)Home 38% n 8 · After a loss 42% n 12
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Home 100% n 8 · After a loss 92% n 12
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.5% | -125-11.6%11d | -110-6.2%11d | +10449.1% | |||
| Under 0.5won | -105-0.7%11d | -125-8.4%11d | -10450.9% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 1.9% | -110-15.9%11d | +116-4.9%11d | +125-0.9%11d | +12744.0% | ||
| Under 2.5won | -135-2.6%11d | -152-7.1%11d | -164-9.9%11d | -12756.0% | ||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Roope Hintz
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 62% implied at BetMGM (-12 pts)Away 40% n 10
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 100% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.7% | -161-6.1%11d | -164-6.7%11d | -13857.9% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +120-7.5%11d | +120-7.5%11d | +13842.1% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 8.6% | -185 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Under 1.5won | +125 11dno sharp price, can’t add | - | ||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 3.5% | +125-8.0%11d | +110-14.1%11d | +14440.9% | |||
| Under 2.5won | -164-4.8%11d | -145-0.1%11d | -14559.1% | |||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Sidney Crosby
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 62% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Home 50% n 8 · After a loss 45% n 11
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 90% n 20Home 75% n 8 · After a loss 100% n 11
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.6% | -189-10.0%11d | -164-5.3%11d | -14358.8% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +140-1.2%11d | +125-7.4%11d | +14341.2% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 0.9% | -105-19.5%11d | +136-2.6%11d | +125-7.1%11d | +14241.3% | ||
| Under 2.5won | -141+0.4%11d | -179-8.4%11d | -169-6.6%11d | -14258.7% | ||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Thomas Harley
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 44% implied at DraftKings (-4 pts)Away 40% n 10
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 75% n 20Away 80% n 10
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 4.8% | +115-13.7%11d | +125-9.7%11d | +14940.1% | |||
| Under 0.5won | -154-1.2%11d | -169-4.8%11d | -14959.9% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonArb -0.2% | -130-10.4%11d | -104-0.8%11d | -141-13.5%11d | -10250.6% | ||
| Under 1.5lost | -111-6.1%11d | -125-11.1%11d | +105+1.3%11d | +10249.4% | ||
| Over 2.5won | - | |||||
| Over 3.5won | - |
Tommy Novak
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 75% n 20Home 71% n 7 · After a loss 77% n 13
Shots On Goal no fair line · price comparison only
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Tyler Seguin
- Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 48% implied at DraftKings (-18 pts)Away 50% n 12
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 83% n 12
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.0% | -105-15.7%11d | +110-9.2%11d | +13143.2% | |||
| Under 0.5lost | -130+0.5%11d | -149-5.2%11d | -13156.8% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 7.8% | -141-12.0%11d | -141-12.0%11d | -10651.4% | |||
| Under 1.5lost | -105-5.3%11d | +100-2.9%11d | +10648.6% | |||
| Over 2.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 3.5lost | - |
Wyatt Johnston
- Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 67% implied at DraftKings (-37 pts)Away 56% n 9
- Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 89% n 9
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.3% | -208-9.3%11d | -200-8.1%11d | -15861.3% | |||
| Under 0.5won | +150-3.2%11d | +150-3.2%11d | +15838.7% | |||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lost | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5won | - | |||||
| Over 1.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 2.8% | -125-13.1%11d | -102-4.4%11d | -120-11.7%11d | +10748.3% | ||
| Under 2.5won | -115-3.2%11d | -125-6.9%11d | -110-1.2%11d | -10751.7% | ||
| Over 3.5lost | - | |||||
| Over 4.5lost | - |
Yegor Chinakhov
6 games logged; hit rates from 5.
Points
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5voidSynthetic hold 2.5% | +120-16.8%11d | +145-7.4%11d | +16437.8% | |||
| Under 0.5void | -161+0.7%11d | -196-6.1%11d | -16462.2% | |||
| Over 1.5void | - |
Shots On Goal
| Selection | BetMGM | FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | Fanatics | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5void | - | |||||
| Over 1.5voidSynthetic hold 3.3% | -200-12.5%11d | -169-7.3%11d | -149-2.6%11d | -14058.3% | ||
| Under 1.5void | +130-4.1%11d | +130-4.1%11d | +110-12.5%11d | +14041.7% | ||
| Over 2.5void | - | |||||
| Over 3.5void | - | |||||
| Over 4.5void | - |
Line movement
Pittsburgh Penguins to win · since 10:14 AM
betmgm-105
fanduel-714
draftkings-125
williamhill_us-115
fanatics-303
Over 3.5 · since 5:34 PM
betmgm+165
fanduel+215
draftkings+180
williamhill_us+210
fanatics+170