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Utah Mammoth at Buffalo Sabres

KickoffOct 10, 4:08 PMPhoenix
StatusFinal
LeagueNHL
Score4 - 1Utah Mammoth P1 10:12 · P2 15:23 PP · P2 17:24 · P3 01:43 PPBuffalo Sabres P1 08:00 PP
RestRest: Buffalo Sabres 2D · Utah Mammoth 2Dtracked competitions only
Novig+8991 / -
Michael Carcone out · Upper BodyMaveric Lamoureux out · ShoulderJason Zucker out · AbdomenAlex Lyon out · Upper BodyConor Timmins out · Lower BodyTopias Leinonen out · Lower BodyJack Rathbone out · Undisclosed

Closing lines captured Oct 10, 4:14 PM.

Moneyline

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Buffalo Sabreslost
+3300+114.3%?11d
--
+1500+0.9%?11d
-+14866.3%
Utah Mammothwon
-10000-5.4%11d
--
-10000-5.4%11d
--148693.7%

Spread model fair on 4 of 10 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Buffalo Sabres -1.5lost----+24129.3%
Buffalo Sabres +1.5lostSynthetic hold 5.7%
-345-4.2%11d
-357-4.9%11d
-345-4.2%11d
-370-5.6%11d
-28974.3%
Utah Mammoth -1.5won
+250-10.0%11d
+250-10.0%11d
+250-10.0%11d
+250-10.0%11d
+28925.7%
Utah Mammoth +1.5won-----24170.7%
Buffalo Sabres -2.5lost+84397m0.1%
Buffalo Sabres +2.5lostSynthetic hold 3.8%
+1600+736.6%?11d
+10349.2%
Utah Mammoth -2.5won
-5000-48.2%11d
-10350.8%
Utah Mammoth +2.5won-83333m99.9%
Buffalo Sabres +3.5wonArb -37.4%
-5000-26.5%11d
-833-19.3%11d
-175+13.1%?11d
-175+13.1%?11d
-258m72.1%
Utah Mammoth -3.5lost
+1000+207.4%?11d
+490+64.9%?11d
+135-34.3%11d
+130-35.7%11d
+258m27.9%

Total Goals model fair on 1 of 7 rows

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 5.5lostArb -33.2%
+750+349.9%?11d
+165+40.3%?11d
+175+45.5%?11d
+137+25.4%?11d
+170+42.9%?11d
-11252.9%
Under 5.5won
-2000-50.6%11d
-222-31.7%11d
-233-32.7%11d
-172-25.6%11d
-233-32.7%11d
+11247.1%
Over 6lostSynthetic hold 3.2%
-118-1.6%12d
-127-4.8%12d
-11453.2%
Under 6won
-102-7.3%12d
+103-5.0%12d
+11446.8%
Over 6.5lostSynthetic hold 4.2%
-141-12.5%11d
-130-9.4%11d
-125-7.9%11d
-130-9.4%11d
-130-9.4%11d
-10551.2%
Under 6.5won
+105+0.1%?11d
+100-2.4%11d
-105-4.8%11d
+105+0.1%?11d
+100-2.4%11d
+10548.8%
Over 8.5lost+503m16.6%

Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.

Player props 30 of 31 priced against a sharp source

Anders Lee

  • Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 47% implied at BetMGM (-7 pts)Away 63% n 8
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Away 88% n 8

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won
+115-9.6%11d
+13842.1%
Under 0.5lost
-154-4.4%11d
-13857.9%

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%
-164-12.5%11d
-164-12.5%11d
-11954.3%
Under 1.5lost
+115-1.9%11d
+125+2.7%?11d
+11945.7%
Over 2.5won-
Over 3.5lost-

Clayton Keller

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 67% implied at DraftKings (+13 pts)Away 70% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 85% n 20Away 100% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.3%
-222-9.2%11d
-204-6.7%11d
-16762.6%
Under 0.5lost
+160-2.7%11d
+150-6.5%11d
+16737.4%
Over 1.5lost+26927.1%
Under 1.5won-26972.9%
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5won-
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 4.3%
-125-13.8%11d
-104-6.1%11d
-115-10.4%11d
+10947.9%
Under 2.5won
-115-2.6%11d
-125-6.2%11d
-120-4.7%11d
-10952.1%
Over 3.5lost-
Over 4.5lost-
Over 5.5lost-
Over 6.5lost-

Dylan Guenther

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 62% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Away 50% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Away 90% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 7.0%
-164-8.4%11d
-13256.9%
Under 0.5won
+120-5.2%11d
+13243.1%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5won-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 1.3%
-132-2.4%11d
-169-11.8%11d
-12555.5%
Under 2.5lost
+102-10.0%11d
+125+0.2%11d
+12544.5%
Over 3.5won-
Over 4.5won-
Over 5.5lost-
Over 6.5lost-

Jack Quinn

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 56% implied at DraftKings (+4 pts)Home 36% n 11 · After a loss 60% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 90% n 20Home 91% n 11 · After a loss 90% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 2.9%
-154-12.1%11d
-130-5.7%11d
-11453.3%
Under 0.5won
+115+0.4%11d
-105-8.9%11d
+11446.7%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5won-
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 5.0%
-125-12.6%11d
-120-11.1%11d
-115-9.2%11d
+10648.6%
Under 2.5won
-115-3.8%11d
-108-0.7%11d
-120-5.9%11d
-10651.4%
Over 3.5lost-
Over 4.5lost-
Over 5.5lost-
Over 6.5lost-

Jiri Kulich

  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 37% n 19Home 42% n 12 · After a loss 30% n 10

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5void+11546.6%
Under 1.5void-11553.4%

Josh Doan

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 43% implied at DraftKings (-23 pts)Home 36% n 11 · After a loss 40% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 91% n 11 · After a loss 80% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+130-7.4%11d
+14840.3%
Under 0.5won
-175-6.2%11d
-14859.7%

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 7.3%
-125-5.9%11d
-10952.3%
Under 1.5lost
-110-8.8%11d
+10947.7%
Over 2.5lost-
Over 3.5lost-
Over 4.5lost-

Josh Norris

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 49% implied at DraftKings (-19 pts)Home 8% n 12 · After a loss 40% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 70% n 20Home 67% n 12 · After a loss 60% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.9%
+100-14.9%11d
+105-12.8%11d
+13542.5%
Under 0.5won
-135-0.0%11d
-145-2.9%11d
-13557.5%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.4%
-115-15.3%11d
-105-11.6%11d
+12145.3%
Under 1.5won
-125-1.6%11d
-125-1.6%11d
-12154.7%
Over 2.5lost-
Over 3.5lost-

Logan Cooley

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 57% implied at DraftKings (+13 pts)Away 60% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 70% n 20Away 70% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.8%
-149-10.9%11d
-135-7.1%11d
-11453.4%
Under 0.5lost
+110-2.1%11d
+100-6.8%11d
+11546.6%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 3.8%
-154-9.7%11d
-135-4.8%11d
-161-11.3%11d
-12154.7%
Under 1.5won
+105-7.2%11d
+104-7.7%11d
+115-2.7%11d
+12145.3%
Over 2.5lost-
Over 3.5lost-
Over 4.5lost-

Mikhail Sergachev

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 53% implied at DraftKings (+17 pts)Away 40% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 90% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.4%
-135-14.2%11d
-115-7.7%11d
+10349.3%
Under 0.5lost
+100+1.3%11d
-120-7.3%11d
-10350.7%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.8%
-175-12.5%11d
-169-11.4%11d
-12655.7%
Under 1.5lost
+120-2.6%11d
+125-0.4%11d
+12644.3%
Over 2.5won-
Over 3.5lost-
Over 4.5lost-

Nick Schmaltz

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 60% implied at DraftKings (+20 pts)Away 60% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 100% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.3%
-175-11.5%11d
-149-5.8%11d
-12956.4%
Under 0.5lost
+130+0.3%11d
+110-8.4%11d
+12943.6%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5won-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 3.6%
+110-9.2%11d
+116-6.6%11d
+100-13.5%11d
+13143.2%
Under 2.5lost
-161-8.0%11d
-152-5.8%11d
-135-1.2%11d
-13156.8%
Over 3.5won-
Over 4.5lost-
Over 5.5lost-
Over 6.5lost-

Noah Östlund

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 44% implied at BetMGM (+6 pts)Home 40% n 10 · After a loss 67% n 9

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 4.8%
+125-4.5%11d
+115-8.8%11d
+13642.4%
Under 0.5won
-164-7.3%11d
-154-5.0%11d
-13657.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Owen Power

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 37% implied at DraftKings (+13 pts)Home 45% n 11 · After a loss 40% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 25% n 20vs 49% implied at BetMGM (+1 pts)Home 27% n 11 · After a loss 20% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost
+165-4.1%11d
+170-2.3%11d
+17636.2%
Under 0.5won
-227-8.1%11d
-233-8.7%11d
-17663.8%

Shots On Goal no fair line · Synthetic hold 8.6% across your best prices

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 1.5lost
+105 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-
Under 1.5won
-154 11dno sharp price, can’t add
-

Rasmus Dahlin

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 65% implied at DraftKings (+5 pts)Home 62% n 13 · After a loss 78% n 9
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 100% n 20Home 100% n 13 · After a loss 100% n 9

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.7%
-208-10.5%11d
-185-6.9%11d
-15360.5%
Under 0.5lost
+150-1.2%11d
+135-7.1%11d
+15339.5%
Over 1.5lost-
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5won-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 5.4%
-120-15.6%11d
-104-9.7%11d
-105-10.1%11d
+11746.1%
Under 2.5lost
-120-1.4%11d
-125-3.0%11d
-130-4.6%11d
-11753.9%
Over 3.5won-
Over 4.5lost-
Over 5.5lost-
Over 6.5lost-

Ryan McLeod

  • Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 44% implied at DraftKings (-24 pts)Home 27% n 11 · After a loss 30% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 2.8%
+105-15.8%11d
+125-7.6%11d
+14441.1%
Under 0.5won
-141+0.8%11d
-169-6.3%11d
-14358.9%
Over 1.5lost-

Tage Thompson

  • Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 68% implied at DraftKings (-8 pts)Home 45% n 11 · After a loss 80% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 95% n 20Home 91% n 11 · After a loss 100% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.2%
-250-11.0%11d
-208-6.0%11d
-17463.5%
Under 0.5lost
+180+2.1%11d
+155-7.0%11d
+17436.5%
Over 1.5lost+25428.2%
Under 1.5won-25471.8%
Over 2.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5won-
Over 2.5won-
Over 3.5wonSynthetic hold 2.0%
-115-15.9%11d
+106-7.4%11d
+115-3.3%11d
+12245.0%
Under 3.5lost
-125-1.0%11d
-139-5.4%11d
-154-9.2%11d
-12255.0%
Over 4.5won-
Over 5.5won-
Over 6.5lost-

Vincent Trocheck

  • Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 48% implied at BetMGM (-8 pts)Away 22% n 9
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 55% n 20Away 56% n 9

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 4.0%
+110-2.6%11d
-105-9.6%11d
+11646.4%
Under 0.5won
-149-10.5%11d
-130-5.1%11d
-11653.6%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lost-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.8%
-105-12.3%11d
+105-7.8%11d
+12245.0%
Under 1.5won
-141-5.9%11d
-141-5.9%11d
-12255.0%
Over 2.5lost-
Over 3.5lost-

Zach Benson

  • Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 50% implied at DraftKings (+0 pts)Home 27% n 11 · After a loss 60% n 10
  • Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Home 100% n 11 · After a loss 100% n 10

Points

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.4%
-115-12.8%11d
+100-6.7%11d
+11446.6%
Under 0.5won
-115-0.2%11d
-135-7.2%11d
-11453.4%
Over 1.5lost-

Shots On Goal

SelectionBetMGMFanDuelDraftKingsCaesarsFanaticsFair
Over 0.5won-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 5.7%
-154-13.2%11d
-139-9.6%11d
-135-8.5%11d
-11152.6%
Under 1.5won
+105-2.8%11d
+106-2.3%11d
+100-5.2%11d
+11147.4%
Over 2.5lost-
Under 2.5won-
Over 3.5lost-

Line movement

Buffalo Sabres to win · since 10:14 AM

betmgm+3300
fanduel+2500
draftkings+2500
williamhill_us+1500
fanatics+4000

Over 5.5 · since 4:14 PM

betmgm+750
fanduel+165
draftkings+175
williamhill_us+137
fanatics+170