Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

KickoffOct 7, 4:50 PMPhoenix

StatusFinal

LeagueNHL

Score2 - 3Colorado Avalanche P2 02:51 · P3 12:35Winnipeg Jets P2 04:01 · P2 18:16 · P3 19:00

RestRest: Winnipeg Jets 2D · Colorado Avalanche 4Dtracked competitions only

Pinnacle+122 / -147

Novig+144 / -147

ProphetX+127 / -159

Logan O'Connor out · Lower BodyTrent Miner out · UndisclosedGeorgii Merkulov out · UndisclosedConnor Hellebuyck out · SuspensionGarrett Brown out · Lower BodyWalker Duehr out · Lower BodyElias Salomonsson out · Shoulder

Closing lines captured Oct 7, 4:34 PM.

Moneyline

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Winnipeg Jetswon	+110-11.8%14d	+132-2.6%14d	+140+0.8%14d	-345-45.8%14d	+110-11.8%14d	+13842.0%
Colorado Avalanchelost	-141-0.8%14d	-169-7.8%14d	-179-9.5%14d	+255+105.9%?14d	-145-2.0%14d	-13858.0%

Spread model fair on 2 of 6 rows

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fanatics	Fair
Winnipeg Jets -1.5lost	-	-	-	-	+19434.0%
Winnipeg Jets +1.5wonSynthetic hold 1.8%	-5000-33.3%14d	-2000-31.3%14d	-1429-30.0%14d	-3333-32.6%14d	-18965.4%
Colorado Avalanche -1.5lost	+1000+280.6%?14d	+830+221.8%?14d	+750+194.1%?14d	+1100+315.2%?14d	+18934.6%
Colorado Avalanche +1.5won	-	-	-	-	-19466.0%
Colorado Avalanche -2.5lost					+369m21.3%
Colorado Avalanche +2.5won					-768m88.5%

Total Goals model fair on 3 of 11 rows

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 4.5wonSynthetic hold 5.1%				-179+31.3%?14d		-531m84.2%
Under 4.5lost				+142-61.7%14d		+531m15.8%
Over 5push						-13156.7%
Under 5push						+13143.3%
Over 5.5lostArb -36.8%	+525+181.1%?14d	+415+131.6%?14d	+450+147.4%?14d	+114-3.8%14d	+600+214.8%?14d	+12245.0%
Under 5.5won	-1000-39.5%14d	-667-36.7%14d	-714-37.3%14d	-143-6.5%14d	-1250-40.6%14d	-12255.0%
Over 6lost						-10851.8%
Under 6won						+10848.2%
Over 6.5lostArb -5.4%	-110-4.4%14d	+114+7.1%14d	+110+5.1%14d	+135+17.6%?14d	+110+5.1%14d	-10050.0%
Under 6.5won	-110-4.6%14d	-147-16.1%14d	-141-14.6%14d	-169-20.5%14d	-145-15.6%14d	+10050.0%
Over 7.5lost						+224m30.9%

Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.

Player props 36 of 37 priced against a sharp source

Adam Lowry

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 25% n 20vs 34% implied at DraftKings (-4 pts)Home 33% n 9 · After a loss 30% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+190+11.1%?14d			+16138.3%
Under 0.5won			-263-14.9%14d			-16161.7%

Alex Iafallo

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 33% implied at DraftKings (-3 pts)Home 33% n 9 · After a loss 13% n 8

Points

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+200-7.5%14d			+22430.8%
Under 0.5won			-278-5.9%14d			-22469.2%

Artturi Lehkonen

Points 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 51% implied at BetMGM (+19 pts)Away 50% n 10 · After a loss 44% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 85% n 20Away 80% n 10 · After a loss 100% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 4.5%	-105+2.8%?14d	-115-1.5%14d	-11152.7%
Under 0.5won	-125-14.9%14d	-115-11.5%14d	+11147.3%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lost			-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 4.0%	-130-0.0%14d	-149-5.7%14d	-13056.5%
Under 1.5won	-111-17.3%14d	+110-8.6%14d	+13043.5%
Over 2.5lost			-

Brent Burns

Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 90% n 10 · After a loss 67% n 9

Shots On Goal

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won		-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 7.5%	-120-9.3%14d	+10249.6%
Under 1.5lost	-115-5.7%14d	-10250.4%
Over 2.5lost		-

Brock Nelson

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 51% implied at BetMGM (+9 pts)Away 30% n 10 · After a loss 56% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 75% n 20Away 70% n 10 · After a loss 89% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 4.5%	-105-2.1%14d	-115-6.1%14d	-10150.2%
Under 0.5won	-130-11.9%14d	-115-6.9%14d	+10149.8%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lost			-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 3.9%	-154-3.6%14d	-179-8.8%14d	-14158.4%
Under 1.5won	+105-14.8%14d	+130-4.4%14d	+14141.6%
Over 2.5lost			-

Cale Makar

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 45% n 20vs 69% implied at BetMGM (-9 pts)Away 40% n 10 · After a loss 57% n 7
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 90% n 10 · After a loss 86% n 7

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.7%	-222-9.0%14d	-233-10.2%14d	-16962.8%
Under 0.5won	+160-3.2%14d	+170+0.5%14d	+16937.2%
Over 1.5lost			+25028.6%
Under 1.5won			-25071.4%
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 4.4%	-111-13.5%14d	+108-5.3%14d	+100-8.9%14d	+12045.5%
Under 2.5lost	-130-3.6%14d	-141-6.9%14d	-135-5.3%14d	-12054.5%
Over 3.5won				-

Cole Perfetti

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 52% implied at DraftKings (+8 pts)Home 44% n 9 · After a loss 50% n 10
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 70% implied at BetMGM (+20 pts)Home 56% n 9 · After a loss 70% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.5%	-125-10.3%14d	-110-4.9%14d	+10149.8%
Under 0.5lost	-105-2.1%14d	-125-9.7%14d	-10150.2%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 9.0%	-233-8.9%14d			-17563.7%
Under 1.5lost	+150-9.2%14d			+17536.3%
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 5.8%		+122-11.1%14d	+125-9.9%14d	+15040.1%
Under 2.5won		-161-2.9%14d	-169-4.7%14d	-15059.9%
Over 3.5lost				-

Devon Toews

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 47% implied at BetMGM (+3 pts)Away 50% n 10 · After a loss 44% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 75% n 20Away 100% n 10 · After a loss 89% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.6%	+115-6.0%14d	+115-6.0%14d	+12943.7%
Under 0.5won	-154-7.1%14d	-154-7.1%14d	-12956.3%
Over 1.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won			-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 4.0%	-111-16.6%14d	+110-7.8%14d	+12843.9%
Under 1.5lost	-130-0.7%14d	-149-6.3%14d	-12856.1%
Over 2.5lost			-

Gabriel Landeskog

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 49% implied at DraftKings (+11 pts)Away 60% n 10 · After a loss 67% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 90% n 10 · After a loss 100% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.3%	-111-14.0%14d	+105-7.2%14d	+12145.2%
Under 0.5won	-120+0.2%?14d	-141-6.4%14d	-12154.8%
Over 1.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won			-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 3.8%	-164-8.4%14d	-135-1.0%14d	-13256.9%
Under 1.5lost	+115-7.4%14d	+100-13.8%14d	+13243.1%
Over 2.5won			-

Gabriel Vilardi

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 52% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Home 44% n 9 · After a loss 70% n 10
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 20Home 67% n 9 · After a loss 80% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.5%	-115-7.8%14d	-110-5.8%14d	+10349.3%
Under 0.5won	-115-5.2%14d	-125-8.8%14d	-10350.7%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won			-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.4%	-145-10.4%14d	-145-10.4%14d	-11353.0%
Under 1.5lost	+100-6.0%14d	+110-1.3%14d	+11347.0%
Over 2.5won			-

Jaden Schwartz

Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 43% implied at DraftKings (-13 pts)Away 38% n 8 · After a loss 33% n 12

Points

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5won			+130-8.1%14d			+15039.9%
Under 0.5lost			-175-5.7%14d			-15060.1%

Josh Manson

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 31% implied at DraftKings (-1 pts)Away 33% n 9 · After a loss 33% n 9

Points

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.6%	+220-2.4%14d	+22830.5%
Under 0.5won	-312-8.3%14d	-22869.5%
Over 1.5lost		-

Josh Morrissey

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 50% n 20vs 51% implied at DraftKings (-11 pts)Home 50% n 8
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Home 100% n 8

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.5%	-120-11.2%14d	-105-5.4%14d	+10648.5%
Under 0.5won	-110-1.6%14d	-130-8.9%14d	-10651.5%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 2.6%	-200-14.4%14d	-156-6.4%14d	-145-3.5%14d	-13357.1%
Under 1.5won	+130-1.3%14d	+120-5.6%14d	+110-9.9%14d	+13342.9%
Over 2.5lost				-

Kyle Connor

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 67% implied at DraftKings (-7 pts)Home 67% n 9 · After a loss 70% n 10
Shots On Goal 2.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 80% n 20Home 67% n 9 · After a loss 80% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.3%	-208-7.8%14d	-200-6.5%14d	-16562.3%
Under 0.5lost	+150-5.8%14d	+150-5.8%14d	+16537.7%
Over 1.5won			+26927.1%
Under 1.5lost			-26972.9%
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 2.5won				-18164.4%
Under 2.5lost				+18135.6%
Over 3.5wonSynthetic hold 5.8%	-105-12.4%14d	+110-5.7%14d	+105-7.9%14d	+12344.9%
Under 3.5lost	-141-5.8%14d	-145-6.9%14d	-141-5.8%14d	-12355.1%
Over 4.5lost				-

Mark Scheifele

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 65% implied at DraftKings (-15 pts)Home 67% n 9 · After a loss 60% n 10
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 90% n 20Home 78% n 9 · After a loss 80% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.4%	-200-9.0%14d	-185-6.5%14d	-15460.7%
Under 0.5lost	+145-3.7%14d	+140-5.7%14d	+15439.3%
Over 1.5won			-
Under 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 4.5%	-208-11.8%14d	-164-4.1%14d	-185-8.2%14d	-14759.6%
Under 1.5won	+130-7.1%14d	+125-9.1%14d	+135-5.0%14d	+14740.4%
Over 2.5lost				-

Martin Necas

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 71% implied at BetMGM (-11 pts)Away 60% n 10 · After a loss 67% n 9
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 80% n 10 · After a loss 67% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.7%	-250-4.4%14d		-21568.3%
Under 0.5won	+180-11.1%14d		+21531.7%
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.8%		+155-10.9%14d	+18635.0%
Under 1.5won		-213-4.4%14d	-18665.0%
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 4.3%	-118-5.3%14d	-114-3.7%14d	-130-9.4%14d	-10551.2%
Under 2.5lost	-118-9.7%14d	-114-8.3%14d	-105-4.9%14d	+10548.8%
Over 3.5lost				-

Morgan Barron

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 29% implied at DraftKings (-9 pts)Home 18% n 11 · After a loss 10% n 10

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.1% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+245 14dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 0.5won			-345 14dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Nathan MacKinnon

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 70% n 20Away 60% n 10 · After a loss 67% n 9
Shots On Goal 2.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20Away 40% n 10 · After a loss 44% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lost			-29974.9%
Under 0.5won			+29925.1%
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.8%	+105-8.5%14d	+105-8.5%14d	+12444.6%
Under 1.5won	-141-5.3%14d	-145-6.4%14d	-12455.4%
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 2.5lost				-21768.5%
Under 2.5won				+21731.5%
Over 3.5lostSynthetic hold 5.3%	-141-6.0%14d	-132-3.3%14d	-141-6.0%14d	-12255.0%
Under 3.5won	-105-12.2%14d	+102-9.0%14d	+105-7.7%14d	+12245.0%
Over 4.5lost				-

Nazem Kadri

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 56% implied at BetMGM (-6 pts)Away 70% n 10 · After a loss 89% n 9
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 85% n 20Away 80% n 10 · After a loss 89% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.3%	-125-3.3%14d	-135-6.5%14d	-11653.7%
Under 0.5won	-105-9.7%14d	+100-7.4%14d	+11646.3%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 2.9%	+115+0.9%14d	+100-6.1%14d	+110-1.5%14d	+11346.9%
Under 2.5lost	-164-14.6%14d	-130-6.1%14d	-145-10.3%14d	-11353.1%
Over 3.5won				-

Sam Malinski

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 21% n 19vs 32% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Away 22% n 9 · After a loss 0% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 79% n 19Away 78% n 9 · After a loss 56% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+210-8.0%14d			+23729.7%
Under 0.5won			-294-5.8%14d			-23770.3%

Shots On Goal

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won		-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 7.2%	-130-6.3%14d	-11353.0%
Under 1.5won	-105-8.3%14d	+11347.0%
Over 2.5lost		-

T.J. Hughes

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 30% n 10vs 42% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Away 40% n 5
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 10Away 100% n 5

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.2%	+135-7.2%14d	+140-5.2%14d	+15339.5%
Under 0.5won	-185-6.8%14d	-189-7.4%14d	-15360.5%
Over 1.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won			-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 4.2%	-149-7.9%14d	-169-12.4%14d	-12355.1%
Under 1.5won	+105-8.0%14d	+125+1.0%?14d	+12344.9%
Over 2.5lost			-

Viggo Bjorck

Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 9L20 0% n 9vs 38% implied at DraftKings (-38 pts)Home 0% n 5

Points

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.7%	+165-7.7%14d	+18734.8%
Under 0.5won	-227-6.1%14d	-18765.2%
Over 1.5lost		-

Line movement

Winnipeg Jets to win · since 10:14 AM

betmgm+110

fanduel+132

draftkings+140

williamhill_us-345

fanatics+110

Over 5.5 · since 5:14 PM

betmgm+525

fanduel+415

draftkings+450

williamhill_us+114

fanatics+600

Moneyline

Spread model fair on 2 of 6 rows

Total Goals model fair on 3 of 11 rows

Player props 36 of 37 priced against a sharp source

Adam Lowry

Points

Alex Iafallo

Points

Artturi Lehkonen

Points

Shots On Goal

Brent Burns

Shots On Goal

Brock Nelson

Points

Shots On Goal

Cale Makar

Points

Shots On Goal

Cole Perfetti

Points

Shots On Goal

Devon Toews

Points

Shots On Goal

Gabriel Landeskog

Points

Shots On Goal

Gabriel Vilardi

Points

Shots On Goal

Jaden Schwartz

Points

Josh Manson

Points

Josh Morrissey

Points

Shots On Goal

Kyle Connor

Points

Shots On Goal

Mark Scheifele

Points

Shots On Goal

Martin Necas

Points

Shots On Goal

Morgan Barron

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.1% across your best prices

Nathan MacKinnon

Points

Shots On Goal

Nazem Kadri

Points

Shots On Goal

Sam Malinski

Points

Shots On Goal

THT.J. Hughes

Points

Shots On Goal

Viggo Bjorck

Points

Line movement

T.J. Hughes