Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs

KickoffOct 6, 4:08 PMPhoenix

StatusFinal

LeagueNHL

Score4 - 5Nashville Predators P1 07:13 PP · P1 09:08 · P2 03:03 · P2 13:30Toronto Maple Leafs P2 04:56 · P2 06:58 PP · P2 14:31 · P3 08:54 · OT 04:46

RestRest: Toronto Maple Leafs 3D · Nashville Predators 3Dtracked competitions only

Novig- / +99900

ProphetX- / +340

Justus Annunen out · UndisclosedDakota Joshua out · AbdomenMax Domi out · BackCade Webber out · ElbowElvis Merzlikins out · ShoulderWilliam Villeneuve out · Knee

Closing lines captured Oct 6, 4:14 PM.

Moneyline

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Toronto Maple Leafswon	-118-38.8%15d	-104-35.1%15d	-141-43.4%15d	-128-41.1%15d	-130-41.4%15d	+20233.1%
Nashville Predatorslost	-105+30.4%?15d	-122+21.8%?15d	+110+40.5%?15d	+103+35.8%?15d	+100+33.8%?15d	-20266.9%

Spread model fair on 4 of 10 rows

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fanatics	Fair
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5lostSynthetic hold 6.3%	+450+121.8%?15d	-	-	-	+14840.3%
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5wonSynthetic hold 5.0%	-	-208-7.8%15d	-213-8.4%15d	-208-7.8%15d	-16562.3%
Nashville Predators -1.5lost	-	+158-2.7%15d	+165-0.1%15d	+155-3.8%15d	+16537.7%
Nashville Predators +1.5won	-769-32.6%15d	-	-	-	-14859.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs +2won					+10349.2%
Nashville Predators -2lost					-10350.8%
Toronto Maple Leafs -2.5lost					+5040m1.9%
Nashville Predators +2.5won					-5051m98.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs -4.5lost					+67988m0.1%
Nashville Predators +4.5won					-66667m99.9%

Total Goals model fair on 5 of 15 rows

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 5.5wonSynthetic hold 4.4%	-110+7.3%?15d	-102+11.3%?15d	+100+12.4%?15d		-110+7.3%?15d	-12856.2%
Under 5.5lost	-120-19.8%15d	-128-22.0%15d	-130-22.5%15d		-120-19.8%15d	+12843.8%
Over 6wonSynthetic hold 4.5%	-110-3.8%15d			-110-3.8%15d		-10250.4%
Under 6lost	-110-5.2%15d			-110-5.2%15d		+10249.6%
Over 6.5wonSynthetic hold 4.3%	-118-5.1%15d	-114-3.6%15d	-115-4.1%15d	-109-1.6%15d	-115-4.1%15d	-10551.3%
Under 6.5lost	-110-6.9%15d	-114-8.4%15d	-115-8.9%15d	-115-8.9%15d	-115-8.9%15d	+10548.7%
Over 8.5wonSynthetic hold 4.6%		-263-85.2%15d	-244-84.9%15d		-263-85.2%15d	+831m10.7%
Under 8.5lost		+195+163.3%?15d	+185+154.4%?15d		+185+154.4%?15d	-831m89.3%
Over 9push						-10250.5%
Under 9push						+10249.5%
Over 9.5lostArb -47.9%	+110-10.2%15d	-139-26.5%15d	-135-25.6%15d	+400+113.7%?15d	-145-27.8%15d	+13442.7%
Under 9.5won	-149-4.4%15d	+104+16.8%?15d	+105+17.4%?15d	-588-33.0%15d	+110+20.2%?15d	-13457.3%
Over 10.5lostSynthetic hold 0.9%	-102-97.5%15d			+125-97.2%15d		+7878m1.3%
Under 10.5won	-130+74.8%?15d			-156+61.9%?15d		-7874m98.7%
Over 11.5lost						+32485m0.3%

Public hit rates from the box scores sit under each player: context beside the price, never an input to the fair.

Player props 39 of 46 priced against a sharp source

Alexander Kerfoot

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 38% implied at DraftKings (+2 pts)Away 43% n 7
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 65% n 20Away 71% n 7

Points

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 6.9%	+160-10.7%15d	+19134.3%
Under 0.5won	-222-4.8%15d	-19165.7%
Over 1.5lost		-

Shots On Goal no fair line · price comparison only

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won		-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 5.9%	+175 15dno sharp price, can’t add	-
Under 1.5won	-233 15dno sharp price, can’t add	-
Over 2.5lost		-

Auston Matthews

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 68% implied at DraftKings (+12 pts)Home 55% n 11
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 73% n 11

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.4%	-233-11.1%15d	-208-8.0%15d	-16462.2%
Under 0.5lost	+170+2.2%15d	+155-3.5%15d	+16437.8%
Over 1.5won			-
Under 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5won			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5won				-
Over 3.5wonSynthetic hold 4.3%	-141-11.4%15d	-114-2.6%15d	-120-5.1%15d	-10851.8%
Under 3.5lost	-105-6.1%15d	-115-9.9%15d	-115-9.9%15d	+10848.2%
Over 4.5lost				-
Over 5.5lost				-
Over 6.5lost				-

Brady Skjei

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 26% implied at DraftKings (-6 pts)Away 56% n 9

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.9% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5won			+280 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 0.5lost			-400 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Christopher Tanev

1 game logged; hit rates from 5.

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.2% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5void			+400 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 0.5void			-588 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Colton Sissons

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 28% implied at DraftKings (+22 pts)Home 42% n 12

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.6% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+260 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 0.5won			-357 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Darren Raddysh

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 51% implied at BetMGM (-1 pts)Home 33% n 12
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Home 100% n 12

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.6%	-105-2.0%15d	-110-4.0%15d	-10150.3%
Under 0.5won	-125-10.5%15d	-120-9.0%15d	+10149.7%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 14.0%	-323 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 1.5lost	+150 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 5.5%		-114-8.2%15d	-110-6.8%15d	+10548.8%
Under 2.5won		-115-4.3%15d	-125-7.9%15d	-10551.2%
Over 3.5lost				+24429.1%
Under 3.5won				-24470.9%
Over 4.5lost				-

Easton Cowan

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 41% implied at DraftKings (+19 pts)Home 50% n 10
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 60% n 20vs 49% implied at DraftKings (+41 pts)Home 50% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.4%	+135-14.8%15d	+145-11.2%15d	+17636.2%
Under 0.5won	-185-1.8%15d	-200-4.4%15d	-17663.8%
Over 1.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 1.5won	+100-11.0%15d		+105-8.8%15d			+12544.5%
Under 1.5lost	-145-6.2%15d		-145-6.2%15d			-12555.5%

Filip Forsberg

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 60% implied at BetMGM (+10 pts)Away 78% n 9
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 70% n 20Away 67% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.1%	-149-2.9%15d	-161-5.8%15d	-13958.1%
Under 0.5lost	+110-12.1%15d	+120-7.9%15d	+13941.9%
Over 1.5won			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 8.6%	-185 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 2.5won	+125 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Over 3.5lostSynthetic hold 2.8%		+108-11.4%15d	+125-4.1%15d	+13542.6%
Under 3.5won		-141-1.9%15d	-169-8.7%15d	-13557.4%
Over 4.5lost				-
Over 5.5lost				-
Over 6.5lost				-

Gavin McKenna

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 45% n 11vs 48% implied at BetMGM (+2 pts)Home 29% n 7
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 100% n 10L20 100% n 11Home 100% n 7

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.1%	+110-0.8%15d	-105-7.9%15d	+11247.2%
Under 0.5lost	-149-11.9%15d	-125-5.0%15d	-11252.8%
Over 1.5won			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won			-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.5%	-120-15.1%15d	-110-11.3%15d	+11546.4%
Under 1.5lost	-120-1.9%15d	-120-1.9%15d	-11553.6%
Over 2.5won			-

Jack Roslovic

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 44% implied at DraftKings (+16 pts)Home 33% n 12
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 95% n 20Home 92% n 12

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.5%	+105-14.0%15d	+125-5.6%15d	+13841.9%
Under 0.5lost	-145-1.9%15d	-169-7.7%15d	-13858.1%
Over 1.5won			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 8.4%	-200-8.3%15d			-15761.2%
Under 1.5lost	+135-8.7%15d			+15738.8%
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 6.1%		+136-10.9%15d	+135-11.3%15d	+16537.7%
Under 2.5lost		-179-2.9%15d	-179-2.9%15d	-16562.3%
Over 3.5won				-

Jake McCabe

Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 0% n 10L20 10% n 20vs 27% implied at DraftKings (-27 pts)Home 10% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 1.6%	+200-22.0%15d	+270-3.8%15d	+28526.0%
Under 0.5won	-294-0.8%15d	-385-6.8%15d	-28574.0%
Over 1.5lost			-

John Tavares

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 57% implied at DraftKings (+13 pts)Home 80% n 10 · After a loss 79% n 14
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 85% n 20Home 90% n 10 · After a loss 86% n 14

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.8%	-154-10.2%15d	-135-5.3%15d	-11954.4%
Under 0.5lost	+115-2.0%15d	+100-8.8%15d	+11945.6%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 2.9%	+100-17.0%15d	+128-5.4%15d	+125-6.7%15d	+14141.5%
Under 2.5lost	-145-1.1%15d	-167-6.4%15d	-164-5.8%15d	-14158.5%
Over 3.5won				-

Jonathan Marchessault

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 42% implied at DraftKings (-12 pts)Away 40% n 10
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 90% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 3.6%	+125-14.9%15d	+140-9.2%15d	+16437.8%
Under 0.5won	-164+0.1%15d	-196-6.1%15d	-16462.2%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 4.7%		-147-3.6%15d	-164-7.6%15d	-13557.4%
Under 1.5lost		+114-8.8%15d	+120-6.2%15d	+13542.6%
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 7.8%	+170 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 2.5won	-250 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Kirill Marchenko

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 70% n 20vs 61% implied at BetMGM (+19 pts)Home 67% n 12
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 80% n 20Home 83% n 12

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.9%	-154-2.6%15d	-175-7.4%15d	-14459.0%
Under 0.5lost	+115-11.9%15d	+130-5.7%15d	+14441.0%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 6.2%	-125-6.4%15d	-125-6.4%15d	-125-6.4%15d	-10852.0%
Under 2.5lost	-115-10.2%15d	-104-5.9%15d	-110-8.3%15d	+10848.0%
Over 3.5lost				-
Over 4.5lost				-

Matthew Wood

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 45% implied at DraftKings (-25 pts)Away 44% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20Away 89% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.8%	+105-9.6%15d	+120-3.0%15d	+12744.1%
Under 0.5lost	-141-4.4%15d	-164-10.0%15d	-12755.9%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 4.8%	-145-12.5%15d	-139-10.9%15d	-130-8.3%15d	-10751.8%
Under 1.5won	+100-3.6%15d	+106-0.7%15d	-105-6.0%15d	+10748.2%
Over 2.5lost				-

Mavrik Bourque

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 35% implied at DraftKings (-15 pts)Away 50% n 10
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 60% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 55% n 20vs 55% implied at DraftKings (-5 pts)Away 50% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 4.8%	+170-9.0%15d	+185-3.9%15d	+19733.7%
Under 0.5lost	-233-5.2%15d	-250-7.2%15d	-19766.3%
Over 1.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 1.5lost	-141-12.7%15d		-120-6.6%15d			-10451.0%
Under 1.5won	-105-4.5%15d		-110-6.5%15d			+10449.0%

Morgan Rielly

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 38% implied at DraftKings (+2 pts)Home 30% n 10
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 20Home 100% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 2.6%	+135-14.5%15d	+165-3.6%15d	+17536.4%
Under 0.5won	-185-2.0%15d	-222-7.7%15d	-17563.6%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won			-
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 4.8%	+105-15.6%15d	+125-7.4%15d	+14341.1%
Under 1.5lost	-154-2.9%15d	-169-6.4%15d	-14358.9%
Over 2.5lost			-

Nick Paul

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 32% implied at DraftKings (+8 pts)Home 17% n 12
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 20% n 5L10 40% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 47% implied at DraftKings (-7 pts)Home 50% n 12

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.4% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+210 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 0.5won			-294 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Shots On Goal no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.6% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 1.5won			+115 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 1.5lost			-154 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Nick Perbix

Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 15% n 20vs 20% implied at DraftKings (-10 pts)Away 11% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 1.9%	+270-29.3%15d	+400-4.5%15d	+42319.1%
Under 0.5won	-455-1.3%15d	-667-7.0%15d	-42380.9%
Over 1.5lost			-

Nicolas Hague

Points 0.5L5 20% n 5L10 10% n 10L20 15% n 20vs 17% implied at DraftKings (-7 pts)Away 10% n 10

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.6% across your best prices

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5lost			+475 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-
Under 0.5won			-769 15dno sharp price, can’t add			-

Nils Hoglander

Points 0.5L5 0% n 5L10 30% n 10L20 20% n 20vs 35% implied at DraftKings (-5 pts)Away 20% n 10
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 40% n 5L10 50% n 10L20 30% n 20vs 41% implied at DraftKings (+9 pts)Away 30% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Caesars	Fanatics	Fair
Over 0.5won			+185-7.2%15d			+20732.5%
Under 0.5lost			-256-6.2%15d			-20767.5%

Shots On Goal

Selection	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 6.6%	+145-19.1%15d	+20333.0%
Under 1.5lost	-196+1.1%?15d	-20367.0%
Over 2.5lost		-

Roman Josi

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 75% n 20vs 59% implied at DraftKings (+21 pts)Away 89% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 100% n 5L10 90% n 10L20 90% n 20Away 89% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.4%	-154-9.0%15d	-145-6.8%15d	-12355.2%
Under 0.5lost	+115-3.6%15d	+105-8.1%15d	+12344.8%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5lost				-
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 6.2%	-105-12.2%15d	+108-6.3%15d	+105-7.6%15d	+12245.1%
Under 2.5won	-141-6.0%15d	-141-6.0%15d	-141-6.0%15d	-12254.9%
Over 3.5lost				-
Over 4.5lost				-

Ross Colton

Points 0.5L5 40% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 35% n 20vs 34% implied at DraftKings (-14 pts)Away 33% n 9
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 0% n 5L10 20% n 10L20 40% n 20vs 58% implied at DraftKings (-38 pts)Away 44% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5lostSynthetic hold 5.1%	+175-14.1%15d	+195-7.9%15d	+22031.2%
Under 0.5won	-250-3.7%15d	-270-5.8%15d	-22068.8%
Over 1.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5wonSynthetic hold 5.8%	-161-13.0%15d	-141-8.2%15d	-11653.7%
Under 1.5lost	+110-2.7%15d	+105-5.0%15d	+11646.3%
Over 2.5lost			-

Ryan O'Reilly

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 57% implied at DraftKings (+13 pts)Away 67% n 9
Shots On Goal 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 80% n 20Away 89% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 3.8%	-154-12.5%15d	-135-7.7%15d	-11353.1%
Under 0.5lost	+115+0.9%15d	+100-6.1%15d	+11346.9%
Over 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5won				-
Over 1.5lostSynthetic hold 5.3%	-222-16.2%15d	-164-7.0%15d	-164-7.0%15d	-13757.8%
Under 1.5won	+130-2.9%15d	+126-4.5%15d	+125-5.0%15d	+13742.2%
Over 2.5lost				-
Over 3.5lost				-

Steven Stamkos

Points 0.5L5 80% n 5L10 80% n 10L20 70% n 20vs 58% implied at DraftKings (+22 pts)Away 67% n 9
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 40% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 70% n 20Away 78% n 9

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 5.8%	-149-10.2%15d	-141-8.0%15d	-11653.8%
Under 0.5lost	+110-2.9%15d	+105-5.2%15d	+11646.2%
Over 1.5won			-
Over 2.5lost			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5wonSynthetic hold 4.4%	-120-16.6%15d	-102-9.7%15d	+100-8.8%15d	+11945.6%
Under 2.5lost	-120-0.4%15d	-128-3.2%15d	-135-5.3%15d	-11954.4%
Over 3.5lost				-
Over 4.5lost				-

William Nylander

Points 0.5L5 60% n 5L10 60% n 10L20 65% n 20vs 67% implied at DraftKings (-7 pts)Home 60% n 10
Shots On Goal 1.5L5 80% n 5L10 70% n 10L20 75% n 20Home 60% n 10

Points

Selection	BetMGM	DraftKings	Fair
Over 0.5wonSynthetic hold 6.3%	-208-8.0%15d	-200-6.7%15d	-16462.2%
Under 0.5lost	+150-5.4%15d	+150-5.4%15d	+16437.8%
Over 1.5won			-
Under 1.5lost			-
Over 2.5won			-

Shots On Goal

Selection	BetMGM	FanDuel	DraftKings	Fair
Over 1.5won				-
Over 2.5lostSynthetic hold 5.7%	-135-9.9%15d	-128-7.8%15d	-125-6.8%15d	-10751.8%
Under 2.5won	-110-7.9%15d	-102-4.5%15d	-110-7.9%15d	+10748.2%
Over 3.5lost				-
Over 4.5lost				-

Line movement

Toronto Maple Leafs to win · since 10:14 AM

betmgm-118

fanduel-104

draftkings-141

williamhill_us-128

fanatics-130

Over 6.5 · since 10:14 AM

betmgm-118

fanduel-114

draftkings-115

williamhill_us-109

fanatics-115

Moneyline

Spread model fair on 4 of 10 rows

Total Goals model fair on 5 of 15 rows

Player props 39 of 46 priced against a sharp source

Alexander Kerfoot

Points

Shots On Goal no fair line · price comparison only

Auston Matthews

Points

Shots On Goal

Brady Skjei

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.9% across your best prices

CTChristopher Tanev

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.2% across your best prices

Colton Sissons

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.6% across your best prices

Darren Raddysh

Points

Shots On Goal

Easton Cowan

Points

Shots On Goal

Filip Forsberg

Points

Shots On Goal

Gavin McKenna

Points

Shots On Goal

Jack Roslovic

Points

Shots On Goal

Jake McCabe

Points

John Tavares

Points

Shots On Goal

Jonathan Marchessault

Points

Shots On Goal

Kirill Marchenko

Points

Shots On Goal

Matthew Wood

Points

Shots On Goal

Mavrik Bourque

Points

Shots On Goal

Morgan Rielly

Points

Shots On Goal

Nick Paul

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.4% across your best prices

Shots On Goal no fair line · Synthetic hold 6.6% across your best prices

Nick Perbix

Points

Nicolas Hague

Points no fair line · Synthetic hold 5.6% across your best prices

Nils Hoglander

Points

Shots On Goal

Roman Josi

Points

Shots On Goal

Ross Colton

Points

Shots On Goal

Ryan O'Reilly

Points

Shots On Goal

Steven Stamkos

Points

Shots On Goal

William Nylander

Points

Shots On Goal

Line movement

Christopher Tanev