Fair sheet (model)
Poisson / Dixon-Coles fitted to pinnacle's match result and total. League calibration: not yet (verify-only). This match: no Pinnacle BTTS or team-total line to check against. Compare with the book on your phone; nothing here is scanned.
| Match result & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Minnesota United FC & yes | +206 | 32.7% |
| Draw & yes | +424 | 19.1% |
| FC Dallas & yes | +498 | 16.7% |
| Both teams to score & total goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes & over 2.5 | -143 | 58.9% |
| Yes & under 2.5 | +932 | 9.7% |
| No & under 2.5 | +380 | 20.8% |
| Yes & over 3.5 | +130 | 43.5% |
| Yes & under 3.5 | +299 | 25.1% |
| No & under 3.5 | +274 | 26.8% |
| Either team to win & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes | +102 | 49.5% |
| Double chance & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Minnesota United FC or draw & yes | -108 | 51.8% |
| Draw or FC Dallas & yes | +179 | 35.8% |
| Minnesota United FC or FC Dallas & yes | +102 | 49.5% |
| Team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Minnesota United FC to score | -752 | 88.3% |
| FC Dallas to score | -324 | 76.4% |
| First team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Minnesota United FC * | -135 | 57.4% |
| FC Dallas * | +158 | 38.7% |
| No goal | +2474 | 3.9% |
| Exact goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| 0 | +2474 | 3.9% |
| 1 | +1197 | 7.7% |
| 2 | +428 | 18.9% |
| 3 | +370 | 21.3% |
| 4 | +424 | 19.1% |
| 5 | +630 | 13.7% |
| 6 or more | +550 | 15.4% |
| Half time / full time | fair | prob |
|---|
| Minnesota United FC / Minnesota United FC * | +198 | 33.5% |
| Minnesota United FC / Draw * | +2143 | 4.5% |
| Minnesota United FC / FC Dallas * | +4697 | 2.1% |
| Draw / Minnesota United FC * | +514 | 16.3% |
| Draw / Draw * | +687 | 12.7% |
| Draw / FC Dallas * | +1047 | 8.7% |
| FC Dallas / Minnesota United FC * | +2805 | 3.4% |
| FC Dallas / Draw * | +2138 | 4.5% |
| FC Dallas / FC Dallas * | +599 | 14.3% |
* first team to score splits the first goal by scoring rate (an approximation); half time / full time assumes independent halves.
Line movement
Minnesota United FC to win · since 10:01 AM
Over 2.5 · since 10:01 AM